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FINLAND › YKKöNEN
13.09.2026 12:00
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
TPV
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
V. Puustinen
TPV
🟨
40'
V. Puustinen
TPV
⚽
45'
V. Puustinen
TPV
🔄
46'
R. Tikkanen ↔ E. Tanninen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
46'
R. Tahkola ↔ E. Kirjavainen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
49'
V. Puustinen
TPV
🟥
49'
V. Puustinen
TPV
⚽
51'
V. Mutlu
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
56'
R. Kostiainen ↔ E. Riikonen
TPV
🔄
56'
M. Akbal ↔ O. Rattari
TPV
🔄
67'
E. Karkkainen ↔ K. Prince Ume
KuPS Akatemia
⚽
70'
V. Anttila
TPV
🔄
79'
T. Toijala ↔ E. Bullock
TPV
🔄
79'
N. Mattila ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
79'
V. Mutlu ↔ V. Lahtela
KuPS Akatemia
⚽
87'
K. Prince Ume
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
89'
E. Riikonen
TPV
⚽
90'
E. Bullock
TPV

TPV vs KuPS Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.30 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.33 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.03 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
TPV Win 60%
Draw 8.4%
KuPS Akatemia Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
TPV1.79
KuPS Akatemia1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPV TPV
WWDLW
40 GF / 50 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
37 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
2.26
17
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TPV TPV 27 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 23 matches
TPV Statistic KuPS Akatemia
8 Wins 3
7 Draws 6
12 Losses 14
40 Goals For 37
50 Goals Against 52
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 2.26
17 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS Akatemia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS Akatemia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control.

TPV Analysis

So far, TPV have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 24 points from 22 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 30:40 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia sit 11 with 15 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 37:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, TPV won 1 times, KuPS Akatemia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from TPV's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
H2H summary: TPV wins 1, draws 0, KuPS Akatemia wins 1

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 58:26 32 50
W L W L W
2 25 12 8 5 52:37 15 44
W L D W L
3 25 12 6 7 52:45 7 42
L W W W W
4 25 11 8 6 50:37 13 41
W W D W L
5 25 10 10 5 44:32 12 40
W W W L D
6 25 11 6 8 38:32 6 39
W L W W D
7 25 10 8 7 45:37 8 38
L W L W D
8 25 8 7 10 55:53 2 31
L L L W D
9
TPV Home
25 7 6 12 35:48 -13 27
L L W L W
10 25 7 5 13 39:53 -14 26
W W L L L
11 25 5 3 17 27:75 -48 18
L W L L L
12 25 3 6 16 41:61 -20 15
L L L L W