Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lille
Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.8%
|
2.02 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.95 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.4%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 30.3%
Draw 13.9%
Lille Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.29
Lille2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Lille
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
2.43
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toulouse
5 matches
Lille
7 matches
| Toulouse | Statistic | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 17 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.43 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 1.5 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 35% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 3 times, Lille won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from Toulouse's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lille 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Toulouse 3, Lille 4
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 3, draws 3, Lille wins 9
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lille
Away
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Toulouse
Home
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
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