Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.1%
|
- |
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toronto FC
13 matches
Philadelphia Union
17 matches
| Toronto FC | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 28 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 12.13 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 6.25 | Corners | 6.75 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Toronto FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Philadelphia Union. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Philadelphia Union. Toronto FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 12 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 13 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Philadelphia Union arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 12 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Salloi (3 goals), R. Laryea (2 goals), D. Etienne (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mihailovic (2 assists), D. Salloi (1 assists), R. Laryea (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Kuscevic, T. Corbeanu, N. Gomis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Philadelphia Union sit 13 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Anello (1 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (1 goals), I. Vassilev (1 goals), with creative support from M. Iloski (1 assists), A. Bedoya (1 assists), C. Sullivan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without A. Anello, Q. Sullivan, S. Olivas, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 5 times, Philadelphia Union won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:31 from Toronto FC's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Toronto FC
4
5
5
3
3
4
Lineups
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
Polessya
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
Toronto FC
Incheon United
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
Polessya
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
Toronto FC
Incheon United
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Toronto FC
Home
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Philadelphia Union
Away
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|