🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Field
Referee: F. Bazakos
Toronto FC
Match Timeline
Philadelphia Union
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Jonathan Osorio
Toronto FC
🟨
16'
Dániel Sallói
Toronto FC
45'
M. Iloski · Assist: J. Lukic
Philadelphia Union
🟨
46'
Alonso Coello
Toronto FC
🟨
49'
Richie Laryea
Toronto FC
52'
D. Jean Jacques
Philadelphia Union
🔄
54'
D. Kerr ↔ M. Henry
Toronto FC
56'
J. Sargent · Assist: D. Salloi
Toronto FC
🟨
61'
Japhet Sery Larsen
Philadelphia Union
64'
K. Franklin · Assist: J. Cifuentes
Toronto FC
🟨
65'
Danley Jean Jacques
Philadelphia Union
🔄
65'
W. Zimmerman ↔ L. Stefanovic
Toronto FC
🔄
65'
I. Vassilev ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🟨
78'
Olwethu Makhanya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
79'
B. Damiani ↔ E. Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
82'
M. Iloski ↔ C. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
82'
J. Lukic ↔ M. Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
89'
N. Harriel · Assist: A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🟨
90+3'
Alejandro Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
90'
L. Gavran · Assist: A. Coello
Toronto FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Toronto FC Win 68.2%
Draw 6.1%
Philadelphia Union Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto FC1.56
Philadelphia Union1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 19 GA
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
9
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toronto FC Toronto FC 13 matches
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 17 matches
Toronto FC Statistic Philadelphia Union
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 9
23 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 21
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
5.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.13 Total Shots 14.33
6.25 Corners 6.75
45.4% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Toronto FC appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Philadelphia Union. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Philadelphia Union. Toronto FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 12 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 13 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Philadelphia Union arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Toronto FC Analysis

So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 12 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Salloi (3 goals), R. Laryea (2 goals), D. Etienne (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mihailovic (2 assists), D. Salloi (1 assists), R. Laryea (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Kuscevic, T. Corbeanu, N. Gomis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

Philadelphia Union sit 13 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Anello (1 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (1 goals), I. Vassilev (1 goals), with creative support from M. Iloski (1 assists), A. Bedoya (1 assists), C. Sullivan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without A. Anello, Q. Sullivan, S. Olivas, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 5 times, Philadelphia Union won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:31 from Toronto FC's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Toronto FC 3-4-2-1 / Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Missing players: Toronto FC 7, Philadelphia Union 3
H2H summary: Toronto FC wins 5, draws 4, Philadelphia Union wins 6
Stats
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 18
4 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
505 Total passes 274
411 Passes accurate 190
1.40 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toronto FC
Formation
Philadelphia Union
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
K. Franklin
K. Franklin
W. Zimmerman
W. Zimmerman
Z. Monlouis
Z. Monlouis
R. Laryea
R. Laryea
A. Coello
🎯
A. Coello
J. Osorio
J. Osorio
D. Kerr
D. Kerr
J. Cifuentes
🎯
J. Cifuentes
D. Salloi
🎯
D. Salloi
J. Sargent
J. Sargent
A. Blake
A. Blake
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
J. Sery Larsen
J. Sery Larsen
O. Makhanya
O. Makhanya
F. Westfield
F. Westfield
D. Jean Jacques
D. Jean Jacques
J. Lukic
🎯
J. Lukic
J. Bueno
J. Bueno
I. Vassilev
I. Vassilev
B. Damiani
B. Damiani
M. Iloski
M. Iloski
Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Gavran
⚽ 90'
G
19
K. Franklin
⚽ 64'
D
25
W. Zimmerman
↓ 65'
D
12
Z. Monlouis
D
22
R. Laryea
🟨 49'
D
14
A. Coello
🎯 90' 🟨 46'
M
21
J. Osorio
🟨 7'
M
29
D. Kerr
↓ 54'
M
8
J. Cifuentes
🎯 64'
M
20
D. Salloi
🎯 56' 🟨 16'
M
9
J. Sargent
⚽ 56'
F
Substitutes
23
W. Yarbrough
G
11
D. Etienne
F
76
L. Stefanovic
↑ 65'
D
99
J. Vilsaint
F
75
R. Fisher
D
44
R. Edwards
D
71
M. Cimermancic
M
17
E. Aristizabal
F
78
M. Henry
↑ 54'
M
Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Starting XI
18
A. Blake
G
26
N. Harriel
⚽ 89'
D
5
J. Sery Larsen
🟨 61'
D
29
O. Makhanya
🟨 78'
D
39
F. Westfield
D
21
D. Jean Jacques
⚽ 52' 🟨 65'
M
4
J. Lukic
🎯 45' ↓ 82'
M
8
J. Bueno
M
19
I. Vassilev
↓ 65'
M
9
B. Damiani
↓ 79'
F
10
M. Iloski
⚽ 45' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
76
A. Rick
G
11
A. Bedoya
🎯 89' ↑ 65' 🟨 90+3'
M
20
P. Ndinga
D
14
J. Rafanello
M
16
B. Bender
M
6
C. Sullivan
↑ 82'
M
2
G. Martinez
D
23
E. Alladoh
↑ 79'
F
51
M. Jakupovic
↑ 82'
F
Last matches: Toronto FC
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
Last matches: Philadelphia Union
24.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
4
6
L
16.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
09.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
1
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
1
W
04.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
1
2
L
21.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
19.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
10.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
1
2
L
27.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
7
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
5
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
4
L
07.02.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
0
W
H2H: Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union
22.04.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
09.08.25
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
29.05.24
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
0
0
D
30.08.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
4
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
4
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
27.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
2
D
04.08.21
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3
0
L
25.10.20
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
5
0
L
03.10.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
11.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
02.03.19
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
1
3
W
Last matches: Toronto FC
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H at home: Toronto FC
22.04.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
28.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
30.08.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
27.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
2
D
03.10.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
11.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
Last matches: Philadelphia Union
24.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
4
6
L
13.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
09.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
1
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
1
W
04.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
1
2
L
19.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
5
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
1
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
1
1
D
H2H away: Philadelphia Union
22.04.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
28.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
L
30.08.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
L
27.10.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
2
D
03.10.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
L
11.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
1
2
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Toronto FC 7 missing
-
B. Kuscevic
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
T. Corbeanu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Gomis
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Pereira
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
H. Wingo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Mihailovic
Missing Fixture Pelvis Injury
OUT
-
W. Zimmerman
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
Philadelphia Union 3 missing
-
A. Anello
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
E. Davis III
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Q. Sullivan
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT