Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.89
Monterrey1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
48 GF / 29 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
34 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
13
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
10
6.56
Shots on Goal
6.23
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
21 matches
Monterrey
18 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 48 | Goals For | 34 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.56 | Shots On Goal | 6.23 |
| 18.11 | Total Shots | 17.23 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Monterrey
Away
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | -18 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)