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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
15.08.2026 11:35
TEDA Football Stadium
Referee: Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
Tianjin Teda
Match Timeline
Beijing Guoan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
F. Abreu · Assist: Yue Tze-Nam
Beijing Guoan
⚽
45'
Dawhan · Assist: F. Abreu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
46'
Wang Qiuming ↔ Wang Xianjun
Tianjin Teda
🔄
46'
Yang Fan ↔ Huang Jiahui
Tianjin Teda
🔄
46'
Zhang Yuning ↔ Cao Yongjing
Beijing Guoan
⚽
49'
Cao Yongjing
Beijing Guoan
🟨
53'
Aboubacar Konte
Beijing Guoan
⚽
53'
F. Abreu · Assist: Serginho
Beijing Guoan
🔄
62'
Wang Zhenghao ↔ Ji Shengpan
Tianjin Teda
🔄
62'
Guilherme Schettine ↔ J. Liu
Tianjin Teda
🔄
62'
Wang Gang ↔ Fan Shuangjie
Beijing Guoan
🔄
62'
Serginho ↔ Yang Liyu
Beijing Guoan
⚽
70'
J. Liu
Tianjin Teda
🔄
78'
Abdugheni Abduhamit ↔ Li Lei
Beijing Guoan
🔄
79'
F. Abreu ↔ Zhang Xizhe
Beijing Guoan
🔄
84'
Sun Ming-Him ↔ Shi Yan
Tianjin Teda
⚽
87'
A. Quiles · Assist: Xadas
Tianjin Teda
🟨
88'
Yongjing Cao
Beijing Guoan

Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tianjin Teda Win 35.2%
Draw 14.6%
Beijing Guoan Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tianjin Teda1.33
Beijing Guoan1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WLDWL
38 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
13
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 22 matches
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 21 matches
Tianjin Teda Statistic Beijing Guoan
7 Wins 9
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
30 Goals For 38
27 Goals Against 27
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 5.43
10.29 Total Shots 16.05
4.1 Corners 6.48
43.7% Ball Possession 61.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tianjin Teda expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tianjin Teda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Beijing Guoan. Beijing Guoan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 29 points while Tianjin Teda sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Tianjin Teda Analysis

Tianjin Teda approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 20 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 29:24, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

Beijing Guoan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 29 points after 21 matches. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 38:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Zhang Yuning (3 goals), Dawhan (2 goals), Fabio Abreu (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yuning (1 assists), Fabio Abreu (1 assists), Aboubacar Konte (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tianjin Teda won 2 times, Beijing Guoan won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:28 from Tianjin Teda's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Tianjin Teda 5-3-2 / Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Tianjin Teda wins 2, draws 5, Beijing Guoan wins 8

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 51:31 20 52
L D W L W
2 27 13 4 10 42:42 0 43
W W D W D
3 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
4 27 13 5 9 47:44 3 38
D D W L W
5 27 11 5 11 55:58 -3 38
L W L D W
6 27 8 14 5 31:36 -5 38
L D D W D
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 27 13 5 9 59:47 12 34
W W L W L
9 27 7 11 9 28:33 -5 32
D L D L D
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 10 8 9 37:32 5 28
W W W D D
13 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
14 27 7 5 15 35:48 -13 26
D L L L D
15 27 5 12 10 40:47 -7 22
D L D D W
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation