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12.10.2026 19:00

Tenerife vs Girona Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tenerife Win 38.1%
Draw 12.2%
Girona Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tenerife1.65
Girona1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tenerife Tenerife
WWDLW
25 GF / 18 GA
Girona Girona
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tenerife Tenerife 14 matches
Girona Girona 14 matches
Tenerife Statistic Girona
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
25 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 20
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 5.13
10.13 Total Shots 15.13
4 Corners 4
41.1% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Girona's more proactive style and Tenerife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Girona carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 14 points while Tenerife sit 12 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Girona. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tenerife expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Girona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Girona having the stronger overall control.

Tenerife Analysis

Tenerife are currently 12 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Enric Gallego (4 goals), Iván Chapela (1 goals), Fabricio (1 goals), with creative support from Nacho Gil (1 assists), Gerard Valentín (1 assists), A. Krdžalić (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Girona Analysis

Girona come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 14 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Y. Asprilla (3 goals), Abel Ruiz (2 goals), Carles Pérez (2 goals), with creative support from Álex Moreno (2 assists), Abel Ruiz (1 assists), Carles Pérez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tenerife won 4 times, Girona won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Tenerife's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Tenerife 4-4-2 / Girona 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tenerife wins 4, draws 3, Girona wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 13:18 -5 9
W L W L L
16 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
18 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation