Swansea
Match Timeline
Burnley
Swansea vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.1%
|
2.13 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 83.1%
Draw 10.3%
Burnley Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.58
Burnley1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Burnley
WLDWL
13 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
3
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
8
4.83
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swansea
11 matches
Burnley
12 matches
| Swansea | Statistic | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 13 | Goals For | 13 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.17 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.83 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 12.17 | Total Shots | 13.83 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 59.3% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 5 times, Burnley won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Swansea's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Swansea 4-3-3 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Swansea 3, Burnley 8
H2H summary: Swansea wins 5, draws 0, Burnley wins 5
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
Home
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Burnley
Away
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One