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Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 74.1%
Draw 8.9%
Vancouver FC Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.52
Vancouver FC1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
38 GF / 45 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
35 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
17
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
2.96
Shots on Goal
2.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 25 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 27 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Vancouver FC
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 6
12 Losses 12
38 Goals For 35
45 Goals Against 41
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
17 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 10
2.96 Shots On Goal 2.11
9.36 Total Shots 6.3
2.72 Corners 2.67
32.1% Ball Possession 23.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Supra du Quebec expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vancouver FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 5 with 28 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 36:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Chretien (2 goals), L. Kwemi (2 goals), I. Conde (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (2 assists), D. Abzi (2 assists), D. Choinière (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 33 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 35:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Toomey (2 goals), M. Doner (2 goals), T. Bah (2 goals), with creative support from Thomas Geoffrey Field (2 assists), L. Toomey (1 assists), M. Amissi (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, Vancouver FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-3-3 / Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 0, draws 1, Vancouver FC wins 1

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D