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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
07.10.2026 21:00
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui

Leones FC vs Barranquilla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds 3.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.5%
3.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.82 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 13.3%
Draw 25.2%
Barranquilla Win 61.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.9
Barranquilla1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
15 GF / 40 GA
Barranquilla Barranquilla
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
10
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 25 matches
Barranquilla Barranquilla 31 matches
Leones FC Statistic Barranquilla
4 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
14 Losses 15
15 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 42
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
10 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 25
10 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barranquilla. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barranquilla having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Leones FC Analysis

With 19 points from 25 games and a place of 16, Leones FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 15:40 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barranquilla Analysis

With 34 points from 31 games and a place of 10, Barranquilla still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats with a 36:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 8 times, Barranquilla won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Leones FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.7%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 8, draws 3, Barranquilla wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 34 15 10 9 53:39 14 55
L D D L W
5 31 15 7 9 44:30 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 9 11 32:26 6 45
W D W D W
7 26 11 9 6 28:20 8 42
W W L W D
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 26 9 9 8 33:29 4 36
W W W W W
10 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
11 31 9 7 15 36:42 -6 34
L L L L W
12 25 7 9 9 32:33 -1 30
W W W W D
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 26 5 8 13 25:40 -15 23
L L L W W
15 26 3 10 13 22:41 -19 19
L D D L D
16 25 4 7 14 15:40 -25 19
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)