Super Nova vs Tukums Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.7%
|
2.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Super Nova
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
31 matches
Tukums
32 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 34 | Goals For | 48 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.03 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Tukums arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tukums. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Super Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tukums in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Super Nova sit 7 with 29 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, while the 27:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 20 points from 28 games and a place of 9, Tukums still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 41:58, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 6 times, Tukums won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Super Nova's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 49 | 74 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 56 | 73 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 61 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | -11 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | -31 | 26 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | -17 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | -46 | 18 |
W
L
D
L
L
|