Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
27 matches
FK Liepaja
36 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 15 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 31 | Goals For | 52 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 2.25 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 20.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Liepaja. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 27 points from 23 games and a place of 6, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 25:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja sit 5 with 31 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 30:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 2 times, FK Liepaja won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:38 from Super Nova's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|