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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.04.2026 19:00
Stadium of Light
Referee: D. England
Sunderland
Match Timeline
Nottingham Forest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
T. Hume
Nottingham Forest
⚽
31'
C. Wood · Assist: M. Gibbs-White
Nottingham Forest
⚽
34'
M. Gibbs-White · Assist: Igor Jesus
Nottingham Forest
⚽
37'
Igor Jesus
Nottingham Forest
🔄
46'
C. Rigg ↔ R. Mandava
Sunderland
🔄
46'
I. Sangare ↔ N. Dominguez
Nottingham Forest
🔄
50'
Cunha ↔ Morato
Nottingham Forest
🟨
51'
Habib Diarra
Sunderland
🟨
51'
Nicolás Domínguez
Nottingham Forest
🟨
58'
Elliot Anderson
Nottingham Forest
🟨
60'
Igor Jesus
Nottingham Forest
VAR
63'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🔄
65'
H. Diarra ↔ W. Isidor
Sunderland
🔄
67'
Igor Jesus ↔ R. Yates
Nottingham Forest
🔄
67'
O. Hutchinson ↔ L. Netz
Nottingham Forest
🟨
69'
Neco Williams
Nottingham Forest
🟨
75'
Granit Xhaka
Sunderland
🟨
76'
Ryan Yates
Nottingham Forest
🔄
88'
C. Wood ↔ T. Awoniyi
Nottingham Forest
⚽
90'
E. Anderson · Assist: T. Awoniyi
Nottingham Forest

Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sunderland Win 48.8%
Draw 15.6%
Nottingham Forest Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sunderland1.14
Nottingham Forest1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sunderland Sunderland
WWDLW
38 GF / 42 GA
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
WLDWL
62 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
16
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
26
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sunderland Sunderland 36 matches
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 48 matches
Sunderland Statistic Nottingham Forest
13 Wins 16
11 Draws 13
12 Losses 19
38 Goals For 62
42 Goals Against 60
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
16 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 37
14 Over 2.5 26
5 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 17
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.77
10.58 Total Shots 14.17
3.86 Corners 5.54
45.3% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nottingham Forest.

Sunderland Analysis

Sunderland sit 11 with 46 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from E. Le Fee (5 assists), Granit Xhaka (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Angulo, J. T. Bi, R. Mundle unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Nottingham Forest Analysis

With 36 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Nottingham Forest still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Gibbs-White (12 goals), Igor Jesus (4 goals), C. Hudson-Odoi (3 goals), with creative support from C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), O. Hutchinson (4 assists), Igor Jesus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with W. Boly, John Victor, N. Savona unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 2 times, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Sunderland's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Sunderland 4-2-3-1 / Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sunderland 5, Nottingham Forest 5
H2H summary: Sunderland wins 2, draws 1, Nottingham Forest wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship