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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
23.08.2026 15:45
Marijampole Football Arena
Referee: R. Valikonis
Suduva Marijampole
Match Timeline
Panevėžys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
J. Janusevskis
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
V. Paulauskas ↔ K. Asamoah
Panevėžys
⚽
58'
F. Tangiri · Assist: H. Uzochukwu
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
64'
M. Bacanin ↔ I. Asante
Panevėžys
🔄
64'
N. Petkevicius ↔ Elivelton
Panevėžys
🔄
64'
R. Rasimavicius ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
🔄
65'
F. Steponavicius ↔ O. Haydary
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
65'
I. Seck ↔ M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
75'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
75'
F. Tangiri ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
77'
M. Ramanauskas
Panevėžys
🔄
81'
S. Kouadio ↔ O. Kurtsev
Panevėžys
⚽
81'
M. Chajia · Assist: A. Sabo
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
89'
Z. Baltrunas ↔ D. Antanavicius
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Suduva Marijampole Win 77.9%
Draw 5%
Panevėžys Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Suduva Marijampole1.58
Panevėžys1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WWDLW
49 GF / 27 GA
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WLDWL
37 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.12
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 29 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys 33 matches
Suduva Marijampole Statistic Panevėžys
15 Wins 12
10 Draws 8
4 Losses 13
49 Goals For 37
27 Goals Against 47
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
15 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Suduva Marijampole's more proactive style and Panevėžys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panevėžys. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Suduva Marijampole arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 36 points compared to Panevėžys in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Panevėžys having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Suduva Marijampole come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 36 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a 29:17 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys sit 7 with 23 points after 22 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 21:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Suduva Marijampole won 5 times, Panevėžys won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Suduva Marijampole's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Suduva Marijampole - / Panevėžys 4-3-3
H2H summary: Suduva Marijampole wins 5, draws 4, Panevėžys wins 6

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L