Login Register
ITALY › SERIE B
10.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol vs Ascoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sudtirol Win 73.5%
Draw 6.3%
Ascoli Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sudtirol1.37
Ascoli1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sudtirol Sudtirol
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Ascoli Ascoli
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sudtirol Sudtirol 10 matches
Ascoli Ascoli 9 matches
Sudtirol Statistic Ascoli
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
14 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 12
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 3.71
9 Total Shots 12.29
2.71 Corners 5.14
49% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sudtirol expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Ascoli in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ascoli having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ascoli. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sudtirol Analysis

Sudtirol approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 11 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on S. Merkaj (2 goals), K. Mixtur (2 goals), Fabio Rispoli (1 goals), with creative support from Fabio Rispoli (2 assists), S. Molina (2 assists), A. Vasic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ascoli Analysis

Ascoli come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 7:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Silipo (3 goals), G. Gori (1 goals), S. D'Uffizi (1 goals), with creative support from G. Gori (1 assists), S. Damiani (1 assists), T. Milanese (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sudtirol won 2 times, Ascoli won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Sudtirol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Sudtirol 3-4-2-1 / Ascoli 3-5-2
H2H summary: Sudtirol wins 2, draws 1, Ascoli wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 10:5 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 9:3 6 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 10:5 5 11
D W D W W
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W D L W W
5 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
W L W D W
6 5 2 1 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D W
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W W L D L
8 5 2 1 2 10:7 3 7
W L W D L
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
L D W W L
10 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D W D
11 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
D L W W L
12 5 2 0 3 6:13 -7 6
L W L L W
13 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L L W L W
14 5 1 2 2 7:6 1 5
D W D L L
15 5 1 2 2 5:7 -2 5
D D W L L
16 5 1 2 2 7:10 -3 5
L D D L W
17 5 1 1 3 5:9 -4 4
W L L L D
18 5 1 0 4 5:9 -4 3
L W L L L
19 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 1
D D L W L
20 5 0 1 4 2:6 -4 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation