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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stuttgart II
FT
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
WIRmachenDRUCK Arena
Referee: J. Besong
Stuttgart II
Match Timeline
Erzgebirge Aue
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Julian Lüers
Stuttgart II
⚽
38'
N. Sessa
Stuttgart II
⚽
40'
Jeremy Arevalo · Assist: C. Olivier
Stuttgart II
🔄
46'
L. Meyer ↔ S. Di Benedetto
Stuttgart II
🔄
46'
J. Luers ↔ Y. Spalt
Stuttgart II
⚽
54'
J. Guttau · Assist: M. Bar
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
61'
K. Fressle ↔ M. Ouro-Tagba
Stuttgart II
🟨
64'
Tristan Zobel
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
65'
J. Ehlers ↔ L. Simnica
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
65'
E. Weinhauer ↔ M. Schmid
Erzgebirge Aue
🟨
71'
Luan Simnica
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
73'
D. Nothnagel ↔ T. Kohler
Stuttgart II
🔄
78'
J. Guttau ↔ M. Clausen
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
78'
J. Gunther-Schmidt ↔ J. Fabisch
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
78'
E. Majetschak ↔ A. F. Ocansey V.
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
81'
N. Sessa ↔ A. Groiss
Stuttgart II
⚽
88'
M. Bar
Erzgebirge Aue

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stuttgart II Win 71.6%
Draw 6.4%
Erzgebirge Aue Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stuttgart II1.48
Erzgebirge Aue1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stuttgart II Stuttgart II
WWDLW
41 GF / 54 GA
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
WLDWL
38 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
22
BTTS Yes
21
22
Over 2.5
21
4
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 33 matches
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 33 matches
Stuttgart II Statistic Erzgebirge Aue
12 Wins 5
6 Draws 10
15 Losses 18
41 Goals For 38
54 Goals Against 61
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
22 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 26
22 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
4 Shots On Goal 3.07
11.3 Total Shots 9.48
4.15 Corners 4.78
45.8% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Erzgebirge Aue. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stuttgart II expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Erzgebirge Aue in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Erzgebirge Aue having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Erzgebirge Aue arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Stuttgart II Analysis

So far, Stuttgart II have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 42 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 41:54 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Darvich (9 goals), M. Ouro-Tagba (7 goals), M. Sankoh (5 goals), with creative support from N. Sessa (5 assists), J. Diehl (3 assists), Leny Meyer (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Erzgebirge Aue Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 25 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 38:61 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bar (7 goals), J. Guttau (4 goals), M. Stefaniak (4 goals), with creative support from Eric Uhlmann (4 assists), Mika Clausen (4 assists), Pascal Fallmann (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stuttgart II won 0 times, Erzgebirge Aue won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Stuttgart II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Stuttgart II 4-2-3-1 / Erzgebirge Aue 4-4-2
H2H summary: Stuttgart II wins 0, draws 2, Erzgebirge Aue wins 4
Stats
Stuttgart II Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stuttgart II
Formation
Erzgebirge Aue
F. Hellstern
F. Hellstern
C. Olivier
🎯
C. Olivier
D. Nothnagel
↓
D. Nothnagel
M. Herwerth
M. Herwerth
L. Meyer
↓
L. Meyer
K. Fressle
↓
K. Fressle
J. Luers
↓
J. Luers
N. Darvich
N. Darvich
N. Sessa
⚽ ↓
N. Sessa
J. Diehl
J. Diehl
Jeremy Arevalo
⚽
Jeremy Arevalo
M. Mannel
M. Mannel
M. Seiffert
M. Seiffert
R. Malone
R. Malone
T. Zobel
T. Zobel
A. Barylla
A. Barylla
J. Guttau
⚽ ↓
J. Guttau
J. Gunther-Schmidt
↓
J. Gunther-Schmidt
E. Majetschak
↓
E. Majetschak
E. Weinhauer
↓
E. Weinhauer
M. Bar
⚽ 🎯
M. Bar
J. Ehlers
↓
J. Ehlers
Stuttgart II 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Hellstern
G
24
C. Olivier
🎯 40'
D
29
D. Nothnagel
↓ 73'
D
4
M. Herwerth
D
16
L. Meyer
↓ 46'
D
19
K. Fressle
↓ 61'
M
18
J. Luers
↓ 46' 🟨 13'
M
31
N. Darvich
M
10
N. Sessa
⚽ 38' ↓ 81'
M
26
J. Diehl
M
32
Jeremy Arevalo
⚽ 40'
F
Substitutes
33
J. von der Felsen
G
6
A. Groiss
↑ 81'
D
8
S. Di Benedetto
↑ 46'
M
13
T. Kohler
↑ 73'
D
17
A. Nankishi
M
23
Y. Spalt
↑ 46'
M
27
M. Ouro-Tagba
↑ 61'
F
39
N. Jatta
M
44
M. Sankoh
F
Erzgebirge Aue 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Mannel
G
30
M. Seiffert
D
16
R. Malone
D
25
T. Zobel
🟨 64'
D
23
A. Barylla
D
19
J. Guttau
⚽ 54' ↓ 78'
M
10
J. Gunther-Schmidt
↓ 78'
F
13
E. Majetschak
↓ 78'
D
7
E. Weinhauer
↓ 65'
F
15
M. Bar
⚽ 88' 🎯 54'
F
24
J. Ehlers
↓ 65'
M
Substitutes
22
L. Lord
G
5
L. Simnica
↑ 65' 🟨 71'
M
8
M. Clausen
↑ 78'
M
9
R. Bornschein
F
11
E. Uhlmann
M
20
J. Fabisch
↑ 78'
M
39
M. Schmid
↑ 65'
45
A. F. Ocansey V.
↑ 78'
Last matches: Stuttgart II
16.05.26
3.
Stuttgart II
VfL Osnabrück
3
4
L
09.05.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Hansa Rostock
3
5
L
02.05.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Rot-Weiß Essen
6
1
W
26.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Havelse
2
3
L
11.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
08.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
1
W
21.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
3
L
15.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
1
0
W
07.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
SV Wehen
1
2
L
03.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
28.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Viktoria Köln
0
2
L
20.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Waldhof Mannheim
3
1
W
14.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Saarbrücken
0
2
L
07.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
01.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Verl
0
4
L
24.01.26
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
2
L
18.01.26
3.
Stuttgart II
MSV Duisburg
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
Stuttgart II
Universitatea Craiova
3
2
W
20.12.25
3.
Stuttgart II
VfL Osnabrück
2
1
W
Last matches: Erzgebirge Aue
16.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
2
W
08.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
03.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Ingolstadt 04
5
3
W
25.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
2
D
12.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
1
1
D
07.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
1
L
04.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
3
5
L
21.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
14.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
4
L
07.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
03.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
28.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
1
3
L
22.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
13.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
2
2
D
07.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
0
0
D
30.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
1
3
L
24.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
0
3
L
17.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
05.01.26
Fri
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1
2
L
20.12.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
H2H: Stuttgart II vs Erzgebirge Aue
19.04.26
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
2
2
D
23.11.25
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
2
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
0
1
L
30.01.16
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
Stuttgart II
1
0
L
22.08.15
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge AUE
1
2
L
Last matches: Stuttgart II
16.05.26
3.
Stuttgart II
VfL Osnabrück
3
4
L
02.05.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Rot-Weiß Essen
6
1
W
08.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Stuttgart II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
1
W
15.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
1
0
W
03.03.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
20.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
Waldhof Mannheim
3
1
W
07.02.26
3.
Stuttgart II
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
18.01.26
3.
Stuttgart II
MSV Duisburg
0
4
L
13.12.25
3.
Stuttgart II
Hansa Rostock
0
1
L
30.11.25
3.
Stuttgart II
Havelse
2
1
W
09.11.25
3.
Stuttgart II
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
18.10.25
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
0
W
30.09.25
3.
Stuttgart II
SV Wehen
0
0
D
20.09.25
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Viktoria Köln
2
1
W
13.09.25
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Saarbrücken
1
3
L
23.08.25
3.
Stuttgart II
Verl
1
1
D
10.08.25
3.
Stuttgart II
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
H2H at home: Stuttgart II
19.04.26
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
2
2
D
27.10.24
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
0
1
L
22.08.15
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge AUE
1
2
L
Last matches: Erzgebirge Aue
16.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
2
W
03.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Ingolstadt 04
5
3
W
07.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
1
L
21.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
14.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
4
L
03.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
13.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
2
2
D
30.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
1
3
L
17.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
13.12.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
28.11.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
1
3
L
08.11.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
1
1
D
26.10.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
1
1
D
30.09.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
1
0
W
20.09.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
1
3
L
17.09.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
30.08.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
1
4
L
09.08.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
H2H away: Erzgebirge Aue
19.04.26
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
2
2
D
27.10.24
H2H
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
0
1
W

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
VfL Osnabrück
38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2
Energie Cottbus
38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3
Rot-Weiß Essen
38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4
MSV Duisburg
38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5
Hansa Rostock
38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7
Alemannia Aachen
38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8
TSV 1860 München
38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9
SV Wehen
38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10
Waldhof Mannheim
38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11
FC Viktoria Köln
38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12
FC Ingolstadt 04
38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13
SSV Jahn Regensburg
38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14
Stuttgart II Home
38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15
FC Saarbrücken
38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16
Hoffenheim II
38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17
Havelse
38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18
Erzgebirge Aue Away
38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19
SSV Ulm 1846
38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20
FC Schweinfurt 05
38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation