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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
21.04.2026 18:45
Edgeley Park
Referee: S. Jackson
Stockport County
Match Timeline
Mansfield Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
A. Oshilaja ↔ S. McLaughlin
Mansfield Town
🟨
37'
Ben Osborn
Stockport County
🟨
42'
Stephen McLaughlin
Mansfield Town
🟨
45'
Kyle Knoyle
Mansfield Town
🟨
49'
Ryan Sweeney
Mansfield Town
🔄
61'
L. Barry ↔ J. Diamond
Stockport County
🔄
61'
A. Sidibeh ↔ T. Olaofe
Stockport County
🔄
61'
↔ R. Oates
Mansfield Town
🔄
61'
J. Gardner ↔ T. Roberts
Mansfield Town
⚽
63'
T. Roberts · Assist: L. Akins
Mansfield Town
🟨
71'
Will Evans
Mansfield Town
🔄
72'
M. Mothersille ↔ C. Gardner
Stockport County
🔄
72'
J. Stokes ↔ C. Grogan
Stockport County
🟨
82'
Frazer Blake-Tracy
Mansfield Town
🟨
90+5'
Oliver Norwood
Stockport County
🟨
90+5'
Ethan Pye
Stockport County
🔄
90+1'
T. Edun ↔ L. Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
90+4'
J. Russell ↔ N. Moriah-Welsh
Mansfield Town
🔄
90+4'
L. Reed ↔ O. Taylor
Mansfield Town

Stockport County vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stockport County Win 70%
Draw 4.3%
Mansfield Town Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stockport County1.37
Mansfield Town1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stockport County Stockport County
WWDLW
67 GF / 54 GA
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WLDWL
63 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
26
BTTS Yes
28
26
Over 2.5
23
4.53
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stockport County Stockport County 44 matches
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 47 matches
Stockport County Statistic Mansfield Town
21 Wins 16
12 Draws 17
11 Losses 14
67 Goals For 63
54 Goals Against 54
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
26 BTTS Yes 28
35 Over 1.5 37
26 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 11
4.53 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.53 Total Shots 11.33
4.84 Corners 4.46
53.6% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stockport County expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mansfield Town in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Stockport County arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 71 points compared to Mansfield Town in 15 on 55, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mansfield Town.

Stockport County Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 71 points from 42 games, Stockport County bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, with a 59:50 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (9 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Mansfield Town Analysis

Mansfield Town sit 15 with 55 points after 42 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 16 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 50:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Evans (8 goals), R. Oates (7 goals), L. Akins (6 goals), with creative support from Stephen McLaughlin (3 assists), R. Hendry (3 assists), N. Moriah-Welsh (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Stockport County won 1 times, Mansfield Town won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Stockport County's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Stockport County 4-2-3-1 / Mansfield Town 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Stockport County wins 1, draws 2, Mansfield Town wins 9

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two