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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
24.11.2026 19:45
SPORTA Arena

Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 38.5%
Draw 15.5%
Sheffield Wednesday Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.23
Sheffield Wednesday1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 12 matches
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 13 matches
Stevenage Statistic Sheffield Wednesday
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.5
11 Total Shots 14.75
3.88 Corners 6.88
43.3% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stevenage expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Sheffield Wednesday in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sheffield Wednesday having the stronger overall control. Sheffield Wednesday carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Stevenage sit 9 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sheffield Wednesday.

Stevenage Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Stevenage have collected 9 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 11:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Kemp (3 goals), J. Magennis (2 goals), O. Sanderson (2 goals), with creative support from Phoenix Patterson (2 assists), D. Kemp (1 assists), J. Roberts (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sheffield Wednesday Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Lowe (2 goals), Louie Barry (2 goals), C. Slattery (1 goals), with creative support from K. Morrison (2 assists), J. Lowe (1 assists), Louie Barry (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 2 times, Sheffield Wednesday won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Stevenage's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-4-1-1 / Sheffield Wednesday 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 2, draws 0, Sheffield Wednesday wins 0

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
5 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
6 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
7 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
8 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
9 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
10 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two