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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
22.08.2026 14:00
Lamex Stadium
Referee: J. Oldham
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Oxford United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
J. Cumming ↔ S. Eastwood
Oxford United
🟨
15'
Michał Helik
Oxford United
🔄
33'
J. Pattenden ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🟨
56'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
60'
Cameron Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
65'
S. Dembele ↔ S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
65'
L. Sibley ↔ G. O'Donkor
Oxford United
⚽
67'
G. O'Donkor · Assist: S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
72'
L. Thompson ↔ T. Taylor
Stevenage
🔄
72'
S. Earley ↔ P. Patterson
Stevenage
🟨
76'
Mark Harris
Oxford United
🔄
80'
D. Phillips ↔ J. Roberts
Stevenage
🔄
80'
J. Reid ↔ O. Sanderson
Stevenage
⚽
87'
C. Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
88'
J. Currie ↔ B. Spencer
Oxford United
🔄
88'
M. Harris ↔ T. Goodrham
Oxford United
🟨
90+5'
Stanley Mills
Oxford United
⚽
90'
J. Roberts
Stevenage

Stevenage vs Oxford United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 39.4%
Draw 22.1%
Oxford United Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage0.76
Oxford United1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Oxford United Oxford United
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 5 matches
Oxford United Oxford United 5 matches
Stevenage Statistic Oxford United
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 12
6 Goals Against 5
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 4
5 Total Shots 17
0 Corners 8
48% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 1 times, Oxford United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 3-4-1-2 / Oxford United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 1, draws 3, Oxford United wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two