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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
11.10.2026 15:00
Batumi Arena

Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Batumi Win 52.8%
Draw 8%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Batumi1.44
Dinamo Tbilisi1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi
WWDLW
50 GF / 52 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
60 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
18
BTTS Yes
24
22
Over 2.5
22
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 34 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 38 matches
Dinamo Batumi Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 12
12 Losses 10
50 Goals For 60
52 Goals Against 53
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
18 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 30
22 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 10
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.7
4.44 Total Shots 4.47
5.41 Corners 4.43
54.2% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Batumi expected to line up in 4-1-2-3 and Dinamo Tbilisi in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dinamo Tbilisi. Dinamo Batumi come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Dinamo Batumi Analysis

Dinamo Batumi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 47 points after 27 outings. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 46:36, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 48 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a 45:30 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Batumi won 4 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Dinamo Batumi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Batumi 4-1-2-3 / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Dinamo Batumi wins 4, draws 7, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 4

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
2 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 27 14 4 9 38:30 8 46
L W W W L
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2