BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Referee: L. Visser
St. Truiden
Match Timeline
Gent
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
12'
R. Ito ↔ A. Muja
St. Truiden
VAR
19'
Wilfried Kanga
Gent
45'
W. Kanga · Assist: M. Delorge-Knieper
Gent
🔄
46'
M. Sonko ↔ M. Dean
Gent
🔄
61'
I. Sebaoui ↔ S. Jukleroed
St. Truiden
🔄
61'
J. Pupe ↔ K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🔄
61'
Hong Hyun-Seok ↔ A. Kadri
Gent
69'
L. Mbe Soh · Assist: K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🟨
73'
Daiki Hashioka
Gent
🔄
81'
K. Goto ↔ T. Hata
St. Truiden
🔄
81'
R. Yamamoto ↔ S. Shinkawa
St. Truiden
🔄
86'
M. Delorge-Knieper ↔ A. Omgba
Gent

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
St. Truiden Win 76%
Draw 0%
Gent Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Truiden1.46
Gent1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WWDLW
56 GF / 42 GA
Gent Gent
WLDWL
52 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
20
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
19
4.43
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 matches
Gent Gent 37 matches
St. Truiden Statistic Gent
21 Wins 13
4 Draws 10
12 Losses 14
56 Goals For 52
42 Goals Against 51
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
20 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 30
20 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 10
4.43 Shots On Goal 4.22
13.81 Total Shots 12.76
5.62 Corners 4.57
54.9% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

St. Truiden Analysis

St. Truiden come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 57 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a 47:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Goto (11 goals), R. Ito (10 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (7 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (5 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Gent Analysis

Gent come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 45 points from 30 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 49:43 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 4 times, Gent won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from St. Truiden's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: St. Truiden 4-2-3-1 / Gent 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St. Truiden wins 4, draws 5, Gent wins 6
Stats
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Gent Gent
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 3
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
635 Total passes 355
561 Passes accurate 285
2.09 expected_goals 1.55
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

St. Truiden
Formation
Gent
L. Kokubo
L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
R. Vanwesemael
L. Mbe Soh
L. Mbe Soh
V. Musliu
V. Musliu
J. Pupe
J. Pupe
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
A. Sissako
A. Sissako
R. Yamamoto
R. Yamamoto
R. Ito
R. Ito
I. Sebaoui
I. Sebaoui
K. Goto
K. Goto
D. Roef
D. Roef
J. Duverne
J. Duverne
L. Lopes
L. Lopes
D. Hashioka
D. Hashioka
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
T. De Vlieger
T. De Vlieger
M. Delorge-Knieper
🎯
M. Delorge-Knieper
M. Skoras
M. Skoras
Hong Hyun-Seok
Hong Hyun-Seok
M. Sonko
M. Sonko
W. Kanga
W. Kanga
St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
L. Kokubo
G
60
R. Vanwesemael
D
4
L. Mbe Soh
⚽ 69'
D
26
V. Musliu
D
23
J. Pupe
↓ 61'
D
14
R. Merlen
M
8
A. Sissako
M
6
R. Yamamoto
↓ 81'
M
13
R. Ito
↓ 12'
M
10
I. Sebaoui
↓ 61'
M
42
K. Goto
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Lendfers
G
18
S. Jukleroed
↑ 61'
22
W. Janssens
D
7
A. Muja
↑ 12'
F
3
T. Hata
↑ 81'
D
33
A. Diriken
M
99
S. Shinkawa
↑ 81'
F
5
S. Taniguchi
D
38
K. Matsuzawa
🎯 69' ↑ 61'
F
Gent 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
D. Roef
G
29
J. Duverne
D
22
L. Lopes
D
4
D. Hashioka
🟨 73'
D
20
T. Araujo
D
27
T. De Vlieger
M
17
M. Delorge-Knieper
🎯 45' ↓ 86'
M
8
M. Skoras
M
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
↓ 61'
M
11
M. Sonko
↓ 46'
M
7
W. Kanga
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Peersman
G
62
W. Asselman
10
A. Omgba
↑ 86'
M
54
H. Vernemmen
D
37
A. Kadri
↑ 61'
M
21
M. Dean
↑ 46'
F
15
A. Ito
M
19
M. Diop
F
59
E. H. Seck
Last matches: St. Truiden
24.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
21.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
1
3
L
09.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
02.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
W
26.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
4
1
W
23.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
0
W
19.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
0
0
D
11.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
28.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
0
1
L
21.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
4
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
3
2
W
06.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
4
0
W
31.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Charleroi
0
2
L
24.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
18.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
1
0
W
26.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
2
1
W
Last matches: Gent
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
10.05.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
22.04.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
19.04.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
20.02.26
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
0
1
L
14.02.26
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
3
2
W
07.02.26
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
1
3
L
30.01.26
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.01.26
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
H2H: St. Truiden vs Gent
16.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
W
27.07.25
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
25.05.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
L
23.04.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
2
L
01.02.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
4
1
W
06.12.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
3
L
30.07.22
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
1
L
25.07.21
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
2
1
W
Last matches: St. Truiden
24.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
W
23.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
0
W
11.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
08.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
3
2
W
31.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Charleroi
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
1
0
W
21.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
06.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
3
2
W
09.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
1
0
W
02.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
1
0
W
19.10.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
2
D
28.09.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
1
2
L
14.09.25
Jup
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
0
3
L
17.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
08.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
2
0
W
27.07.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
W
H2H at home: St. Truiden
16.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
27.07.25
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
23.04.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
2
L
01.02.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
4
1
W
06.12.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
3
L
25.07.21
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
2
1
W
Last matches: Gent
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
22.04.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
14.02.26
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
3
2
W
30.01.26
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.01.26
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
Gent
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
0
W
21.12.25
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
06.12.25
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Gent
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
02.11.25
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
0
4
L
19.10.25
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
1
4
L
28.09.25
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
4
2
W
23.09.25
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
0
1
L
14.09.25
Jup
Gent
Antwerp
2
1
W
16.08.25
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
H2H away: Gent
16.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
27.07.25
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
23.04.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
2
W
01.02.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
4
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
1
W
22.01.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
3
W
25.07.21
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
2
1
L

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Away
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs