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25.09.2026 19:30
Estadio Feliciano Cáceres
Referee: B. Romero
Sportivo Luqueno
Match Timeline
Club Guarani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Diego Fernández
Club Guarani
🔄
46'
R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria ↔ V. Cespedes
Club Guarani
🔄
56'
I. Maggi ↔ W. Gonzalez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
56'
J. Ramos ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
56'
L. Comas ↔ M. Ojeda
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
61'
J. Garcia ↔ F. Fernandez
Club Guarani
🔄
61'
D. Fernandez ↔ P. Coronel
Club Guarani
🔄
61'
C. Arrua ↔ M. Anasco
Club Guarani
🔄
68'
A. Maiz ↔ T. Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
85'
J. Llano ↔ J. Recalde
Club Guarani
🟨
87'
Miguel Barreto
Sportivo Luqueno
⚽
87'
F. Fernandez
Club Guarani
🔄
89'
A. Cantero ↔ A. Balbuena
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
90+4'
Tomás Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
90+5'
Luis Martinez
Club Guarani
🟨
90+2'
Maximiliano Añasco
Club Guarani

Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds 2.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
2.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.16 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Luqueno Win 35.1%
Draw 5.6%
Club Guarani Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Luqueno1.04
Club Guarani1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WWDLW
36 GF / 53 GA
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WLDWL
40 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
20
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
13
3.85
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 33 matches
Club Guarani Club Guarani 35 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Statistic Club Guarani
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 14
18 Losses 10
36 Goals For 40
53 Goals Against 34
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
20 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 11
3.85 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.82 Total Shots 11.09
3.52 Corners 4.26
43.9% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Club Guarani's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Guarani. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno are currently 9 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 12:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Bogado (1 goals), L. Morales (1 goals), A. Maíz (1 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (2 assists), L. Morales (1 assists), A. Maíz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Guarani Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Club Guarani have collected 17 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 12:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fernández (2 goals), J. García (2 goals), F. Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from F. Llano (2 assists), M. López (1 assists), A. Méndez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueno won 6 times, Club Guarani won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Sportivo Luqueno's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1 / Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Luqueno wins 6, draws 2, Club Guarani wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)