25.07.2026 21:30
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 43%
Draw 18.4%
Nacional Asuncion Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.14
Nacional Asuncion1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Asuncion
WLDWL
31 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
10
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.82
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Ameliano
22 matches
Nacional Asuncion
22 matches
| Sportivo Ameliano | Statistic | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 27 | Goals For | 31 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 11.23 | Total Shots | 11.68 |
| 3.91 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, Nacional Asuncion won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-4-2 / Nacional Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 6, draws 6, Nacional Asuncion wins 3
Standings
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 27 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 10 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Nacional Asuncion
Away
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 23 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Home
|
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 13 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | -18 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)