Sporting Gijon vs Almeria Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
93.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sporting Gijon
43 matches
Almeria
42 matches
| Sporting Gijon | Statistic | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 22 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 18 | Losses | 12 |
| 58 | Goals For | 82 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.95 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 5.49 |
| 11.02 | Total Shots | 15.05 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almeria. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sporting Gijon have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Almeria carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 71 points while Sporting Gijon sit 12 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Sporting Gijon sit 12 with 55 points after 40 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 55:52 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Dubasin (16 goals), J. Otero (13 goals), C. Gelabert Pina (8 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (12 assists), G. Rosas (7 assists), J. Dubasin (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 71 points from 40 games, Almeria bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 21 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 79:60, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Arribas (24 goals), A. Embarba (15 goals), Leo Baptistao (9 goals), with creative support from A. Embarba (9 assists), S. Arribas (7 assists), A. Munoz (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Gijon won 7 times, Almeria won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Sporting Gijon's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Almeria
Away
|
42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon
Home
|
42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|