Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.5%
|
1.88 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.96 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.08 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
31 matches
São Bernardo
31 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 12 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 42 | Goals For | 43 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 14.16 | Total Shots | 11.74 |
| 4.97 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. Sport Recife have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward São Bernardo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Sport Recife sit 9 with 44 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 8 defeats with a 40:32 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chrystian Barletta (8 goals), Perotti (7 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), Madson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
From their first 30 matches, São Bernardo have collected 42 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 40:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pedro Vitor (4 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 0 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Sport Recife's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|