Login Register
BRAZIL › SERIE B
06.10.2026 22:30
Ilha do Retiro
Referee: Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Mariano Andrés Soso
Sport Recife
⚽
17'
Neto Pessoa · Assist: Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida
Sport Recife
🟨
39'
Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida
Sport Recife
🟨
43'
Raí Lopes de Oliveira
Sport Recife
⚽
46'
Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes · Assist: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
São Bernardo
🟨
53'
Fabrício Daniel
São Bernardo
🔄
59'
Raí Lopes de Oliveira ↔ Edson Lucas Pereira
Sport Recife
🔄
59'
Juan ↔ Kervin Andrade
Sport Recife
🔄
65'
Fabrício Daniel ↔ Lucas Fernandes
São Bernardo
🟨
67'
Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Neto Pessoa ↔ Pedro Henrique Perotti
Sport Recife
🔄
73'
Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva ↔ Foguinho
São Bernardo
🔄
73'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva
São Bernardo
🟨
76'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes ↔ Lucas Rian Santos Oliveira
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque ↔ Romisson
São Bernardo
🔄
79'
Claudinho ↔ Augusto Pucci De Freitas
Sport Recife
🔄
79'
Carlos María de Pena Bonino ↔ Arthur Maron Cruz
Sport Recife
🟨
82'
Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva
São Bernardo
⚽
86'
Patrick de Paula Carreiro
Sport Recife
🟨
87'
Patrick de Paula Carreiro
Sport Recife
🟨
90+5'
Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva
Sport Recife

Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
1.88 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.96 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.08 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 60.5%
Draw 4%
São Bernardo Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.22
São Bernardo1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
42 GF / 33 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
43 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
20
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
14
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 31 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 31 matches
Sport Recife Statistic São Bernardo
12 Wins 12
11 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
42 Goals For 43
33 Goals Against 32
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
20 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 6
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.26
14.16 Total Shots 11.74
4.97 Corners 4.65
54.6% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. Sport Recife have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward São Bernardo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife sit 9 with 44 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 8 defeats with a 40:32 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chrystian Barletta (8 goals), Perotti (7 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), Madson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

São Bernardo Analysis

From their first 30 matches, São Bernardo have collected 42 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 40:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pedro Vitor (4 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 0 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Sport Recife's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / São Bernardo 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 0, draws 1, São Bernardo wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
4 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
5 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation