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17.05.2026 01:30
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: Joel Alarcon, Peru
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Cusco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Luciano Nequecaur
Sport Boys
🟨
18'
Iván Colman
Cusco
🟨
20'
Aldair Fuentes
Cusco
🟨
29'
Hansell Riojas
Sport Boys
🟨
31'
Juan Tévez
Cusco
🟨
39'
José Zevallos
Cusco
⚽
52'
Luciano Nequecaur · Assist: Luis Urruti
Sport Boys
🟨
52'
Luciano Nequecaur
Sport Boys
🟨
57'
Carlos Gamarra
Cusco
🔄
61'
José Miguel Manzaneda ↔ Gabriel Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
70'
Oswaldo Valenzuela ↔ Carlo Diez
Cusco
🔄
70'
Lucas Colitto ↔ Nicolás Silva
Cusco
🔄
75'
Oslimg Mora ↔ Erick Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
76'
José Zevallos ↔ Jose Bolivar
Cusco
🟨
77'
Hernan Da Campo
Sport Boys
🔄
81'
Luciano Nequecaur ↔ Percy Liza
Sport Boys
🔄
81'
Miguel Trauco ↔ Jostin Alarcón
Sport Boys

Sport Boys vs Cusco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 37.3%
Draw 20.7%
Cusco Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.21
Cusco1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Cusco Cusco
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
7
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 16 matches
Cusco Cusco 19 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Cusco
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
16 Goals For 21
22 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
7 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 4.22
12.93 Total Shots 11.78
4.43 Corners 3.28
51.1% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cusco. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Cusco in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cusco carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 21 points while Sport Boys sit 16 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Sport Boys have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Sport Boys Analysis

With 12 points from 13 games and a place of 16, Sport Boys still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Nequecaur (4 goals), L. Urruti (3 goals), O. Mora (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (4 assists), L. Nequecaur (2 assists), C. Lopez (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cusco Analysis

Cusco are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (8 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (2 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 5 times, Cusco won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Sport Boys's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 5-3-2 / Cusco 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 5, draws 1, Cusco wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 8 3 46:19 27 59
W W L D L
2 28 14 8 6 45:33 12 50
D L W D W
3 28 14 6 8 39:25 14 48
L W L W W
4 28 13 8 7 47:31 16 47
D D W W L
5
Cusco Away
28 14 3 11 41:40 1 45
L W L W W
6 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
7 28 12 7 9 43:36 7 43
W W L W W
8 28 12 7 9 36:45 -9 43
D D L L L
9 28 12 5 11 49:40 9 41
W W W W L
10 28 10 8 10 30:29 1 38
L D W L W
11 28 11 5 12 38:44 -6 38
W W W W W
12 28 9 8 11 43:53 -10 35
D W W D W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 28 7 10 11 36:39 -3 31
D L L D L
15 28 7 7 14 41:52 -11 28
D L W L W
16 28 6 8 14 29:42 -13 26
D W L L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 28 4 8 16 32:51 -19 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2