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25.07.2026 15:30
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: Kevin Ortega, Peru
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Orlando Nuñez
ADT
🟨
42'
Luis Urruti
Sport Boys
🟨
45'
Luis Pérez
ADT
🟨
53'
Emilio Saba
Sport Boys
🔄
60'
E. Saba ↔ E. Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
60'
C. Lopez ↔ Y. Celi
Sport Boys
VAR
67'
Erick Gonzales
Sport Boys
🟥
68'
Erick Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
70'
A. Ojeda ↔ J. Pereyra
ADT
🔄
70'
V. Cedron ↔ J. Garcilazo
ADT
⚽
76'
H. Riojas
Sport Boys
🔄
77'
L. Urruti ↔ F. Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
77'
P. Erustes ↔ P. Liza
Sport Boys
🟨
79'
Luciano Nequecaur
Sport Boys
🔄
80'
L. Rugel ↔ A. Rodriguez
ADT
🔄
80'
J. Alvino ↔ S. Peralta
ADT
🟨
83'
Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
87'
L. Nequecaur ↔ G. Dulanto
Sport Boys
VAR
90+2'
Percy Liza
Sport Boys
⚽
90'
Y. Celi
Sport Boys

Sport Boys vs ADT Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 47.7%
Draw 13.1%
ADT Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.07
ADT1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
18 GF / 23 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
24 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
3.94
Shots on Goal
5.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 20 matches
ADT ADT 19 matches
Sport Boys Statistic ADT
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
18 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 25
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
3.94 Shots On Goal 5.28
13.44 Total Shots 13.11
4.78 Corners 3.94
50.8% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and ADT's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward ADT. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Sport Boys Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Sport Boys have collected 20 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Nequecaur (2 goals), Luis Urruti (1 goals), Carlos López (1 goals), with creative support from Jostin Alarcón (2 assists), Luciano Nequecaur (1 assists), Luis Urruti (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

So far, ADT have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), Carlos Cabello (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 4 times, ADT won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Sport Boys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-2-3-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 4, draws 2, ADT wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 8 3 46:19 27 59
W W L D L
2 28 14 8 6 45:33 12 50
D L W D W
3 28 14 6 8 39:25 14 48
L W L W W
4 28 13 8 7 47:31 16 47
D D W W L
5 28 14 3 11 41:40 1 45
L W L W W
6 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
7 28 12 7 9 43:36 7 43
W W L W W
8 28 12 7 9 36:45 -9 43
D D L L L
9 28 12 5 11 49:40 9 41
W W W W L
10 28 10 8 10 30:29 1 38
L D W L W
11 28 11 5 12 38:44 -6 38
W W W W W
12 28 9 8 11 43:53 -10 35
D W W D W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 28 7 10 11 36:39 -3 31
D L L D L
15 28 7 7 14 41:52 -11 28
D L W L W
16
ADT Away
28 6 8 14 29:42 -13 26
D W L L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 28 4 8 16 32:51 -19 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2