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11.10.2026 16:00
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Sparta Praha vs Pardubice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.31
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.5%
1.31 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.46 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 74.5%
Draw 4.6%
Pardubice Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.79
Pardubice1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
43 GF / 31 GA
Pardubice Pardubice
WLDWL
27 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
10
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
5.58
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 20 matches
Pardubice Pardubice 19 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic Pardubice
11 Wins 6
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
43 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 24
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
10 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
5.58 Shots On Goal 4.33
15.67 Total Shots 13
7.42 Corners 4.56
61.7% Ball Possession 41.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sparta Praha's more proactive style and Pardubice's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pardubice. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Praha expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pardubice in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pardubice having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sparta Praha arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 15 points compared to Pardubice in 13 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Sparta Praha Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Sparta Praha have collected 15 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Mercado (3 goals), Adam Karabec (2 goals), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 goals), with creative support from Adam Karabec (2 assists), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 assists), Dominik Hollý (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Pardubice Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Pardubice have collected 8 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 9:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tobias Boledovic (2 goals), Václav Drchal (2 goals), Ryan Mahuta (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan Mahuta (2 assists), Tobias Boledovic (1 assists), Václav Drchal (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 10 times, Pardubice won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:17 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1 / Pardubice 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 10, draws 1, Pardubice wins 1

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10 9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs