KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
-
BTTS Yes
53.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Soy United Win 43.4%
Draw 11.4%
MOFA Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Soy United0.82
MOFA1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Soy United Soy United
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
MOFA MOFA
WLDWL
50 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.39
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
12
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Soy United Soy United 36 matches
MOFA MOFA 36 matches
Soy United Statistic MOFA
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 14
14 Losses 6
30 Goals For 50
27 Goals Against 29
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
12 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 21
8 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors MOFA. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MOFA having the stronger overall control.

Soy United Analysis

So far, Soy United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 48 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 30:27 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

MOFA Analysis

Placed 5 with 62 points from 36 outings, MOFA continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 16 wins, 14 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 50:29 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Soy United won 0 times, MOFA won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Soy United's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: Soy United wins 0, draws 2, MOFA wins 0
Last matches: Soy United
13.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
2
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
H2H: Soy United vs MOFA
07.06.26
H2H
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
03.11.25
H2H
MOFA
Soy United
1
1
D
Last matches: Soy United
28.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Soy United
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Soy United
Talanta
0
0
D
22.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Naivas
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Soy United
Migori Youth
0
0
D
28.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Mwatate United
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
07.01.26
Sup
Soy United
Equity Bank
2
1
W
14.12.25
Sup
Soy United
MCF
1
0
W
03.12.25
Sup
Soy United
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Soy United
3K
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Soy United
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Soy United
07.06.26
H2H
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D
Last matches: MOFA
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
4
0
W
13.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
22.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
1
L
30.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
H2H away: MOFA
07.06.26
H2H
Soy United
MOFA
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5
MOFA Away
38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation