Southampton
Match Timeline
Millwall
Southampton vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.1%
|
1.98 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 59.1%
Draw 4.8%
Millwall Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.5
Millwall1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
Millwall
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
4
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Southampton
5 matches
Millwall
8 matches
| Southampton | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 10 | Goals For | 10 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 21.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 62% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 6 times, Millwall won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Southampton's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-3-3
Missing players: Southampton 1, Millwall 7
H2H summary: Southampton wins 6, draws 2, Millwall wins 3
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Millwall
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Southampton
Home
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One