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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
03.10.2026 13:00
Yunost Stadium

Smorgon vs Osipovichy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Smorgon Win 85.4%
Draw 5.9%
Osipovichy Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smorgon1.73
Osipovichy1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smorgon Smorgon
WWDLW
37 GF / 42 GA
Osipovichy Osipovichy
WLDWL
30 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2.48
12
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smorgon Smorgon 30 matches
Osipovichy Osipovichy 27 matches
Smorgon Statistic Osipovichy
10 Wins 5
7 Draws 4
13 Losses 18
37 Goals For 30
42 Goals Against 67
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2.48
12 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Osipovichy. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Osipovichy having the stronger overall control. Osipovichy arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon are currently 12 in the standings with 30 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 31:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Osipovichy Analysis

Osipovichy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 18 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 26:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Smorgon won 3 times, Osipovichy won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:3 from Smorgon's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Smorgon wins 3, draws 1, Osipovichy wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 56:28 28 57
W W W W D
2 27 17 4 6 67:31 36 55
D W L W W
3 27 17 3 7 51:43 8 54
W W L W W
4 27 16 5 6 56:31 25 53
W W W L W
5 27 14 5 8 49:32 17 47
D W W D W
6 26 14 3 9 45:40 5 45
L W D W W
7 27 12 5 10 52:41 11 41
W D W L L
8 27 11 7 9 52:44 8 40
D W W W D
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D D L W W
11 27 10 4 13 40:50 -10 34
L L L L W
12 27 9 6 12 33:36 -3 33
W L W W D
13 27 9 3 15 37:50 -13 30
L L D L L
14 27 7 6 14 28:51 -23 27
D L L D L
15 26 6 8 12 25:35 -10 26
D L L D L
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 27 5 6 16 36:55 -19 21
L L L L L
18 27 5 4 18 29:67 -38 19
L D D L L