Internacional vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.1%
|
1.62 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
69.6%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.1%
|
2.29 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.1%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Internacional
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Internacional
28 matches
Corinthians
39 matches
| Internacional | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 12 | Losses | 14 |
| 30 | Goals For | 40 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.79 |
| 14.64 | Total Shots | 11.89 |
| 6.07 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Corinthians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Corinthians. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Internacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 30:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Carbonero (7 goals), A. Bernabéi (4 goals), Alan Patrick (4 goals), with creative support from J. Carbonero (4 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Calebe, S. Rochet, B. Arhin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Corinthians sit 14 with 32 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 29:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Garro (3 goals), Yuri Alberto (3 goals), Andre (3 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), Andre (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Andre Ramalho, Z. Labyad, Kayke, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Internacional won 4 times, Corinthians won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Internacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Corinthians
Away
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Internacional
Home
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|