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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
04.05.2026 16:00
Showgrounds
Referee: M. Lynch
Sligo Rovers
Match Timeline
St Patrick's Athl.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Sean Hoare
St Patrick's Athl.
⚽
6'
K. Leavy · Assist: J. Redmond
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
32'
Cian Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
37'
James Brown
St Patrick's Athl.
⚽
41'
A. Meekison
Sligo Rovers
🟨
53'
Sean Stewart
Sligo Rovers
🔄
63'
J. Brown ↔ Z. Elbouzedi
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
63'
J. Lennon ↔ D. Nugent
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
63'
C. Forrester ↔ G. Nzingo
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
70'
S. Stewart ↔ K. McDonagh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
77'
A. Breslin ↔ J. McClelland
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
78'
R. Edmondson ↔ M. A. Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
84'
C. McHugh ↔ D. Patton
Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 31.9%
Draw 0%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 68.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers1.01
St Patrick's Athl.1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
22 GF / 22 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
30 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
6
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
2.71
Shots on Goal
5.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 20 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 16 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
8 Wins 9
2 Draws 4
10 Losses 3
22 Goals For 30
22 Goals Against 14
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
6 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 5
2.71 Shots On Goal 5.64
10.43 Total Shots 16.86
3.5 Corners 5.36
49% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. St Patrick's Athl. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 27 points while Sligo Rovers sit 9 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 4-3-3 and St Patrick's Athl. in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St Patrick's Athl.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

So far, Sligo Rovers have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 14 points from 14 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 10:18 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), Archie Meekison (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (2 assists), A. Nolan (1 assists), Archie Meekison (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 27 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 26:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Edmondson (7 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), K. Leavy (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (2 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:27 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 4-3-3 / St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 4, draws 1, St Patrick's Athl. wins 10

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation