SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sirius Win 50.1%
Draw 4.5%
Malmo FF Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sirius2.04
Malmo FF1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sirius Sirius
WWDLW
57 GF / 35 GA
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WLDWL
38 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
17
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
14
6.06
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sirius Sirius 24 matches
Malmo FF Malmo FF 23 matches
Sirius Statistic Malmo FF
16 Wins 10
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 9
57 Goals For 38
35 Goals Against 35
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 17
19 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 1
6.06 Shots On Goal 4.53
15.17 Total Shots 13.94
5.67 Corners 4.71
47.9% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sirius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 42 points compared to Malmo FF in 7 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sirius expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Malmo FF in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malmo FF having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Malmo FF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 42 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 47:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Robbie Ure (8 goals), Isak Bjerkebo (4 goals), Mohamed Soumah (2 goals), with creative support from Isak Bjerkebo (3 assists), Marcus Lindberg (1 assists), August Ljungberg (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Malmo FF Analysis

Malmo FF are currently 7 in the standings with 26 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erik Botheim (2 goals), Diego García (2 goals), Sead Hakšabanović (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Sead Hakšabanović (2 assists), Anton Höög (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sirius won 4 times, Malmo FF won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:36 from Sirius's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Sirius 4-2-3-1 / Malmo FF 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sirius wins 4, draws 2, Malmo FF wins 9
Last matches: Sirius
21.08.26
All
Sirius
BK Hacken
0
3
L
15.08.26
All
Sirius
Mjallby AIF
3
4
L
10.08.26
All
Sirius
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
03.08.26
All
Sirius
Halmstad
2
0
W
26.07.26
All
Sirius
IFK Goteborg
4
1
W
19.07.26
All
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
3
1
W
12.07.26
All
Sirius
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
03.07.26
All
Sirius
Mjallby AIF
4
4
D
26.06.26
Fri
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
30.05.26
All
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
3
0
W
24.05.26
All
Sirius
Gais
2
1
W
18.05.26
All
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
11.05.26
All
Sirius
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
02.05.26
All
Sirius
Kalmar FF
3
2
W
27.04.26
All
Sirius
BK Hacken
2
2
D
23.04.26
All
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
2
W
18.04.26
All
Sirius
Vasteras SK FK
4
1
W
13.04.26
All
Sirius
Hammarby FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
All
Sirius
Degerfors IF
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Sirius
Inter Turku
0
1
L
Last matches: Malmo FF
16.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
1
0
W
09.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
3
L
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
H2H: Sirius vs Malmo FF
23.04.26
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
W
05.10.25
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
5
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
1
1
D
27.07.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
0
1
W
19.07.24
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
4
L
28.08.23
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
1
3
L
01.07.23
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
3
0
L
07.08.22
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
1
W
23.07.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
3
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
3
L
10.07.21
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
4
0
L
08.11.20
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
4
0
L
26.07.20
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
5
L
21.07.19
H2H
Malmo FF
Sirius
1
1
D
20.04.19
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
0
1
L
Last matches: Sirius
21.08.26
All
Sirius
BK Hacken
0
3
L
10.08.26
All
Sirius
IF Brommapojkarna
2
2
D
26.07.26
All
Sirius
IFK Goteborg
4
1
W
03.07.26
All
Sirius
Mjallby AIF
4
4
D
26.06.26
Fri
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
24.05.26
All
Sirius
Gais
2
1
W
11.05.26
All
Sirius
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
02.05.26
All
Sirius
Kalmar FF
3
2
W
18.04.26
All
Sirius
Vasteras SK FK
4
1
W
13.04.26
All
Sirius
Hammarby FF
2
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Sirius
Inter Turku
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Sirius
Aalesund
3
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sirius
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Sirius
Silkeborg
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sirius
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sirius
05.10.25
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
5
1
W
19.07.24
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
4
L
28.08.23
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
1
3
L
07.08.22
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
3
L
26.07.20
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
5
L
20.04.19
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
0
1
L
Last matches: Malmo FF
16.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
1
0
W
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Jeonbuk Motors
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
Genk
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Porto
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
02.10.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Plzen
0
3
L
28.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
12.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
0
5
L
22.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
4
1
W
08.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Iberia 1999
3
1
W
H2H away: Malmo FF
05.10.25
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
5
1
L
19.07.24
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
4
W
28.08.23
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
1
3
W
07.08.22
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
3
W
26.07.20
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
2
5
W
20.04.19
H2H
Sirius
Malmo FF
0
1
W