SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
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Jamtkraft Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ostersunds FK Win 60.2%
Draw 4.9%
Ljungskile SK Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostersunds FK1.35
Ljungskile SK1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WWDLW
37 GF / 35 GA
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK
WLDWL
49 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
16
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
16
1.83
Shots on Goal
2.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 27 matches
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK 29 matches
Ostersunds FK Statistic Ljungskile SK
11 Wins 13
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 9
37 Goals For 49
35 Goals Against 38
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
16 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
1.83 Shots On Goal 2.28
2.94 Total Shots 5
2.89 Corners 2.56
26.6% Ball Possession 25.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ostersunds FK's more proactive style and Ljungskile SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ostersunds FK expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Ljungskile SK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ljungskile SK having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ljungskile SK. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, Ostersunds FK bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 29:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ljungskile SK Analysis

Ljungskile SK sit 11 with 23 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 27:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ostersunds FK won 0 times, Ljungskile SK won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Ostersunds FK's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Ostersunds FK 3-5-2 / Ljungskile SK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ostersunds FK wins 0, draws 1, Ljungskile SK wins 0
Last matches: Ostersunds FK
16.08.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IFK Varnamo
1
1
D
07.08.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
1
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Norrby IF
2
2
D
18.07.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
Orebro SK
2
4
L
27.06.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
2
0
W
21.06.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
14.06.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Ljungskile SK
1
1
D
09.06.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
United Nordic
1
1
D
31.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Orebro SK
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Oddevold
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Sandviken
2
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IK brage
4
2
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Falkenbergs FF
2
2
D
03.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IFK Varnamo
3
2
W
25.04.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
0
1
L
19.04.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Helsingborg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Norrby IF
1
1
D
06.04.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Ljungskile SK
15.08.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Osters IF
2
3
L
08.08.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Oddevold
0
1
L
02.08.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
United Nordic
2
2
D
26.07.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Sandviken
2
1
W
19.07.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
3
2
W
27.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Orebro SK
3
2
W
22.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
14.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
09.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IK brage
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Osters IF
4
1
W
14.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Sandviken
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
United Nordic
0
2
L
24.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Helsingborg
4
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
11.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IFK Norrkoping
0
1
L
06.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Rosengård
1
0
W
H2H: Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK
14.06.26
H2H
Ljungskile SK
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
Last matches: Ostersunds FK
07.08.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
1
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
Orebro SK
2
4
L
21.06.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
31.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Orebro SK
3
2
W
17.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Sandviken
2
1
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Falkenbergs FF
2
2
D
03.05.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
IFK Varnamo
3
2
W
11.04.26
Sup
Ostersunds FK
Norrby IF
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
Umeå FC
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
Stjørdals-Blink
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
Levanger
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Ostersunds FK
IFK Östersund
2
0
W
Last matches: Ljungskile SK
02.08.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
United Nordic
2
2
D
19.07.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
3
2
W
22.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
09.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IK brage
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Osters IF
4
1
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Sandviken
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
06.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
IF Karlstad
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Orgryte IS
3
3
D

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 2 4 36:11 25 41
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 36:27 9 35
W D L W L
3 19 10 4 5 34:24 10 34
D L W L W
4 19 9 6 4 29:22 7 33
D W W D W
5 19 8 5 6 25:20 5 29
D W L L L
6 19 7 8 4 29:26 3 29
D D D D W
7 19 9 2 8 30:29 1 29
W L L W W
8 19 6 8 5 30:27 3 26
D W D D L
9 19 7 4 8 32:29 3 25
L W W L L
10 19 7 4 8 32:37 -5 25
D L L D W
11 19 6 5 8 27:27 0 23
L L D W W
12 19 4 10 5 24:26 -2 22
L W D D W
13 19 5 6 8 33:36 -3 21
D L W D L
14 19 5 3 11 23:37 -14 18
D W W D L
15 19 3 7 9 18:31 -13 16
D L L D L
16 19 3 1 15 14:43 -29 10
D L L L L
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