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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
20.09.2026 13:00
Siauliai central stadium
Referee: D. Svegzda
Šiauliai
Match Timeline
Kauno Žalgiris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
D. Hasanovic
Šiauliai
🟨
40'
M. Burba
Kauno Žalgiris
⚽
53'
M. Burba · Assist: A. Kalik
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
64'
L. Krekovic ↔ F. Baldassarra
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
64'
G. Debeljuh ↔ Renan Oliveira
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
67'
A. Valuckas ↔ K. Zebrauskas
Šiauliai
🟨
70'
L. I. Kastrati
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
75'
M. Burba ↔ G. Sirgedas
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
75'
L. I. Kastrati ↔ J. Moutachy
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
78'
D. Naah ↔ K. Gustas
Šiauliai
🔄
78'
D. Hasanovic ↔ M. Mandic
Šiauliai
🟨
81'
M. Dapkus
Šiauliai
🔄
87'
A. Kalik ↔ F. Cernych
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
90+1'
A. Benchaib
Kauno Žalgiris
⚽
90'
F. Baldassarra · Assist: G. Sirgedas
Kauno Žalgiris

Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.5%
1.24 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.45 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.4%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Šiauliai Win 20.7%
Draw 19.8%
Kauno Žalgiris Win 59.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Šiauliai0.92
Kauno Žalgiris1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WWDLW
34 GF / 68 GA
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WLDWL
78 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
19
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
25
0
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Šiauliai Šiauliai 36 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 43 matches
Šiauliai Statistic Kauno Žalgiris
6 Wins 23
10 Draws 11
20 Losses 9
34 Goals For 78
68 Goals Against 38
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
19 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 31
19 Over 2.5 25
13 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 20
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.25
0 Total Shots 3.38
0 Corners 2.38
0% Ball Possession 22%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kauno Žalgiris's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kauno Žalgiris having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Šiauliai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kauno Žalgiris. Kauno Žalgiris carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Šiauliai sit 9 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Šiauliai Analysis

Šiauliai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 16 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 24:56 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 45 points after 25 outings. The return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 51:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Šiauliai won 3 times, Kauno Žalgiris won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from Šiauliai's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
H2H summary: Šiauliai wins 3, draws 3, Kauno Žalgiris wins 9

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L