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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
04.07.2026 11:00
Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Referee: J. Chen
Shenyang Urban
Match Timeline
Chongqing Tongliang Long
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Tixiang Li
Shenyang Urban
🟨
19'
Felipe
Shenyang Urban
⚽
21'
Xiang Yuwang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
VAR
29'
Michael Ngadeu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🟥
30'
Michael Ngadeu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
⚽
47'
A. Kouame · Assist: Gao Jiarun
Shenyang Urban
🟨
57'
Jeffinho
Shenyang Urban
🔄
60'
G. Cimpanu ↔ Yue Ruijie
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
61'
Li Tixiang ↔ Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
61'
Xiang Yuwang ↔ Ruan Qilong
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
71'
Gao Jiarun ↔ Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
⚽
74'
Jeffinho
Shenyang Urban
🔄
78'
I. Amadou ↔ Du Yuezheng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
78'
He Xiaoqiang ↔ Liang Weipeng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
⚽
83'
Jeffinho · Assist: Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
🔄
84'
Liu Mingshi ↔ Wei Suowei
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🟨
86'
Ximing Pan
Shenyang Urban
🔄
88'
Yuan Mincheng ↔ D. Mawlanniyaz
Shenyang Urban
🔄
88'
Chen Binbin ↔ Li Haoran
Shenyang Urban

Shenyang Urban vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 31.9%
Draw 20.3%
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.19
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
21 GF / 28 GA
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
6
4.06
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 16 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 16 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Chongqing Tongliang Long
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
21 Goals For 20
28 Goals Against 16
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
4.06 Shots On Goal 3.31
11.81 Total Shots 8.13
4.06 Corners 4
52.8% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Chongqing Tongliang Long's more proactive style and Shenyang Urban's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

So far, Shenyang Urban have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 20:23 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Placed 2 with 24 points from 15 outings, Chongqing Tongliang Long continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 3 times, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 4-1-4-1 / Chongqing Tongliang Long -
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 3, draws 0, Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation