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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
24.04.2026 18:45
Tolka Park
Referee: M. Lynch
Shelbourne
Match Timeline
Drogheda United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sean Gannon
Shelbourne
🟨
15'
Jago Godden
Drogheda United
⚽
19'
S. Boyd · Assist: H. Wood
Shelbourne
🟨
33'
Sean Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
35'
J. Godden ↔ S. Farrell
Drogheda United
⚽
41'
P. Barrett · Assist: H. Wood
Shelbourne
🔄
46'
A. Quinn ↔ J. Bolger
Drogheda United
⚽
51'
E. Agbaje · Assist: B. Kavanagh
Drogheda United
🔄
58'
D. Kareem ↔ M. Doyle
Drogheda United
🔄
61'
J. Martin ↔ R. Freitas
Shelbourne
⚽
62'
W. Davis · Assist: T. Oluwa
Drogheda United
⚽
66'
W. Davis
Drogheda United
🟨
71'
Thomas Oluwa
Drogheda United
🔄
72'
W. Jarvis ↔ M. Lundgren
Shelbourne
🔄
73'
J. Henry-Francis ↔ K. McInroy
Shelbourne
🟨
74'
James Bolger
Drogheda United
⚽
80'
H. Wood
Shelbourne
🟨
85'
Maill Lundgren
Shelbourne
⚽
85'
C. Keeley
Drogheda United
🔄
88'
E. Caffrey ↔ A. Coote
Shelbourne
🔄
88'
S. Bone ↔ S. Gannon
Shelbourne
🟨
89'
Alistair Coote
Shelbourne
🔄
90+3'
B. Kavanagh ↔ K. Cruise
Drogheda United

Shelbourne vs Drogheda United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 34.1%
Draw 22.7%
Drogheda United Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.65
Drogheda United1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
27 GF / 21 GA
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WLDWL
17 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
7
3.91
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 15 matches
Drogheda United Drogheda United 14 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Drogheda United
6 Wins 3
5 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
27 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 20
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
3.91 Shots On Goal 3.73
13.36 Total Shots 10.27
5.18 Corners 4
56% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Drogheda United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Drogheda United in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control. Shelbourne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 13 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Martin (5 goals), H. Wood (4 goals), Daniel Kelly (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (1 assists), Daniel Kelly (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United sit 9 with 10 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 11:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (4 goals), B. Kavanagh (2 goals), Conor Keeley (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (1 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), A. Quinn (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 5 times, Drogheda United won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Shelbourne's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 4-4-2 / Drogheda United 5-3-2
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 5, draws 7, Drogheda United wins 3

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation