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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 11:35
Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shanghai Shenhua Win 51.7%
Draw 10.8%
Yunnan Yukun Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shanghai Shenhua1.91
Yunnan Yukun1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WWDLW
56 GF / 51 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
59 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
21
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
23
5.85
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 31 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 28 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Statistic Yunnan Yukun
12 Wins 11
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 11
56 Goals For 59
51 Goals Against 58
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
21 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 4
5.85 Shots On Goal 5.27
15.65 Total Shots 15.58
5.81 Corners 5.04
49% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shanghai Shenhua expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Yunnan Yukun. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua are currently 8 in the standings with 31 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 52:46 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Ratão (13 goals), Luís Asué (6 goals), Makhtar Gueye (5 goals), with creative support from Gao Tianyi (9 assists), Xie Pengfei (4 assists), Wu Xi (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 38 points after 26 outings. The return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 54:51, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through O. Maritu (19 goals), Cléber (9 goals), A. Ioniță (4 goals), with creative support from A. Ioniță (12 assists), O. Maritu (6 assists), Cléber (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 2 times, Yunnan Yukun won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Shanghai Shenhua's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Shanghai Shenhua 4-4-2 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shanghai Shenhua wins 2, draws 1, Yunnan Yukun wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation