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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
14.08.2026 11:35
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Referee: Ma Ning
Shandong Luneng
Match Timeline
Qingdao Jonoon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Cryzan · Assist: V. Qazaishvili
Shandong Luneng
⚽
12'
Liu Yang
Shandong Luneng
⚽
13'
Jin Yonghao · Assist: Lin Chuangyi
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
21'
Zeca
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
P. Alvaro ↔ Yang Ruiqi
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Mijit Mewlan ↔ Xie Wenneng
Shandong Luneng
🔄
62'
Song Long ↔ Sun Zheng'ao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
62'
Li Hailong ↔ Wang Qiao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
62'
Song Wenjie ↔ Liu Xinyu
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
64'
Huang Zhengyu ↔ Memet Imran
Shandong Luneng
🔄
64'
Zeca ↔ R. Merkies
Shandong Luneng
⚽
65'
R. Merkies
Shandong Luneng
🟨
67'
Senwen Luo
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
68'
Jin Yangyang ↔ Liu Jiashen
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
77'
Cryzan ↔ Shi Songchen
Shandong Luneng
🔄
80'
Luo Senwen ↔ Gong Ruicong
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
90+4'
Songchen Shi
Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shandong Luneng Win 88%
Draw 6%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shandong Luneng1.81
Qingdao Jonoon1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WWDLW
39 GF / 37 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WLDWL
30 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
16
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
12
4.86
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 22 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 22 matches
Shandong Luneng Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
11 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 13
39 Goals For 30
37 Goals Against 41
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
16 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 7
4.86 Shots On Goal 3.86
13.82 Total Shots 12.55
4.32 Corners 4.32
49.7% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Qingdao Jonoon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Qingdao Jonoon. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Shandong Luneng arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 27 points compared to Qingdao Jonoon in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 27 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 37:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cryzan (1 goals), with creative support from Songchen Shi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 30:40 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Malcom Edjouma (3 goals), Song Wenjie (1 goals), Chuangyi Lin (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Malcom Edjouma (1 assists), Senwen Luo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 5 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Shandong Luneng 4-4-2 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shandong Luneng wins 5, draws 3, Qingdao Jonoon wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation