IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tallaght Stadium
Referee: R. Hennessey
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
St Patrick's Athl.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
G. Burke · Assist: D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
33'
Jack Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
36'
Matthew Healy
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
61'
Sean Hoare
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
63'
B. Baggley ↔ A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
64'
J. McGovern ↔ A. Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
67'
J. Mulraney ↔ M. Kovalevskis
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
J. Byrne ↔ J. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
D. Watts ↔ C. Malley
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
G. Burke ↔ M. Noonan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
77'
L. Turner ↔ A. Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
77'
R. Edmondson ↔ M. A. Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
77'
R. Palmer ↔ D. Nugent
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
83'
Aaron Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
84'
J. Brown ↔ G. Nzingo
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
88'
Joe Redmond
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
90+4'
Ed McGinty
Shamrock Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 62.9%
Draw 4.8%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.46
St Patrick's Athl.1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
39 GF / 17 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
35 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
4.63
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 21 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 20 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
13 Wins 10
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
39 Goals For 35
17 Goals Against 17
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 7
4.63 Shots On Goal 5.39
14 Total Shots 16.28
5 Corners 5.28
61.2% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and St Patrick's Athl. in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward St Patrick's Athl.. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 34 points after 17 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 27:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), John McGovern (3 goals), M. Noonan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 31 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 9 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1 / St Patrick's Athl. 3-4-3
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 9, draws 2, St Patrick's Athl. wins 4
Stats
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
590 Total passes 340
502 Passes accurate 271
0.43 expected_goals 0.80
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
Formation
St Patrick's Athl.
E. McGinty
E. McGinty
T. Sobowale
T. Sobowale
L. Grace
L. Grace
E. Stevens
E. Stevens
J. Mulraney
J. Mulraney
M. Healy
M. Healy
J. Byrne
J. Byrne
C. O'Sullivan
C. O'Sullivan
D. Watts
🎯
D. Watts
G. Burke
G. Burke
J. McGovern
J. McGovern
J. Anang
J. Anang
J. Brown
J. Brown
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
L. Turner
L. Turner
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
B. Baggley
B. Baggley
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
R. Palmer
R. Palmer
Z. Elbouzedi
Z. Elbouzedi
R. Edmondson
R. Edmondson
Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
E. McGinty
🟨 90+4'
G
22
T. Sobowale
D
5
L. Grace
D
3
E. Stevens
D
11
J. Mulraney
↓ 67'
M
8
M. Healy
🟨 36'
M
29
J. Byrne
↓ 74' 🟨 33'
M
27
C. O'Sullivan
M
7
D. Watts
🎯 9' ↓ 74'
F
10
G. Burke
⚽ 9' ↓ 74'
F
88
J. McGovern
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
41
A. Noonan
G
2
A. Matthews
D
9
A. Greene
↑ 64' 🟨 83'
F
26
J. O'Sullivan
↑ 74'
23
C. Malley
↑ 74'
M
28
N. Razi
M
31
M. Noonan
↑ 74'
F
38
M. Kovalevskis
↑ 67'
24
E. Vassenin
D
St Patrick's Athl. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
94
J. Anang
G
23
J. Brown
↓ 84'
D
4
J. Redmond
🟨 88'
D
2
S. Hoare
🟨 61'
D
24
L. Turner
↓ 77'
D
6
J. Lennon
M
19
B. Baggley
↓ 63'
M
10
K. Leavy
M
17
R. Palmer
↓ 77'
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
M
27
R. Edmondson
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Rogers
G
11
J. McClelland
F
9
A. Keena
↑ 63'
F
3
A. Breslin
↑ 77'
D
18
M. A. Mata
↑ 77'
F
16
D. Nugent
↑ 77'
M
5
T. Grivosti
D
42
G. Nzingo
↑ 84'
M
48
R. Sheridan
M
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
3
L
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
H2H: Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.
29.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
10.04.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
W
20.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
17.10.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
19.05.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
4
0
W
18.04.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
07.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
13.06.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
L
10.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
05.04.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
L
09.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
27.10.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
W
15.05.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
2
W
21.04.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
W
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
6
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
0
0
D
14.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ballkani
4
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
St Joseph S Fc
0
0
D
H2H at home: Shamrock Rovers
29.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
20.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
19.05.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
4
0
W
07.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
10.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
09.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
W
15.05.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
2
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
2
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
2
0
W
H2H away: St Patrick's Athl.
29.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
20.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L
19.05.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
4
0
L
07.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L
27.09.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
W
10.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
09.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
15.05.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
3
2
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 5 5 35:20 15 44
D W L W W
2 21 11 5 5 35:17 18 38
W W L D L
3 23 10 7 6 36:27 9 37
W L L W L
4 21 9 8 4 34:29 5 35
W W W D W
5 22 7 9 6 31:32 -1 30
L D W D D
6 23 5 11 7 28:27 1 26
D L W L D
7 20 6 6 8 28:31 -3 24
W L D L W
8 21 5 7 9 27:36 -9 22
D L D D L
9 21 5 4 12 15:33 -18 19
L L L W L
10 21 2 8 11 25:42 -17 14
L W D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1