Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk
43 matches
Crystal Palace
48 matches
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Statistic | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 18 |
| 12 | Draws | 14 |
| 3 | Losses | 16 |
| 93 | Goals For | 58 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 2.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 25 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.98 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 10.08 | Total Shots | 13.17 |
| 3.68 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 41.1% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Shakhtar Donetsk enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 6 matches, placing them 6 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 10:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (3 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Crystal Palace come into this tie placed 10 in their league with 10 points from 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:6, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on I. Sarr (7 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (3 assists), J. Mateta (2 assists), Y. Pino (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, Crystal Palace won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Crystal Palace
Away
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|