Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sevilla
39 matches
Real Madrid
52 matches
| Sevilla | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 35 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 18 | Losses | 12 |
| 52 | Goals For | 110 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.12 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 45 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 33 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.54 | Shots On Goal | 6.83 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 17.85 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 6.44 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Madrid's more proactive style and Sevilla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Madrid. Real Madrid carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 77 points while Sevilla sit 13 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
From their first 35 matches, Sevilla have collected 40 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, together with a 43:56 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Adams (9 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), A. Sanchez (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (5 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), D. Sow (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 2 with 77 points from 35 outings, Real Madrid continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 70:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Mbappe (24 goals), Vinícius Júnior (15 goals), F. Valverde (5 goals), with creative support from A. Guler (9 assists), F. Valverde (8 assists), Vinícius Júnior (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 0 times, Real Madrid won 13 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from Sevilla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Sevilla
6
1
5
6
3
5
Lineups
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Villarreal
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Levante
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Oviedo
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Espanyol
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Girona
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Getafe
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Villarreal
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Getafe
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Espanyol
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Valencia
Real Madrid
Benfica
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Albacete
Real Madrid
CF Talavera
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Girona
Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Sevilla
Home
|
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|