ICELAND 2. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.1%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.1%
1.68
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Selfoss Win 43.1%
Draw 15.2%
Kári Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Selfoss2.05
Kári2.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Selfoss Selfoss
WWDLW
40 GF / 31 GA
Kári Kári
WLDWL
45 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.35
Average Goals Scored
2.65
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
15
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Selfoss Selfoss 17 matches
Kári Kári 17 matches
Selfoss Statistic Kári
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
3 Losses 2
40 Goals For 45
31 Goals Against 27
2.35 Avg Goals Scored 2.65
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
15 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 13
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kári. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kári having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Selfoss Analysis

Selfoss come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kári Analysis

Kári come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 26 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 41:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Selfoss won 5 times, Kári won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:6 from Selfoss's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
H2H summary: Selfoss wins 5, draws 1, Kári wins 0
Last matches: Selfoss
15.08.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjolnir
6
2
W
10.08.26
2.
Selfoss
Vikingur Olafsiik
0
2
L
29.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Dalvík / Reynir
2
1
W
25.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Kormákur / Hvöt
5
2
W
18.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1
0
W
11.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
2
2
D
03.07.26
2.
Selfoss
KFG
3
2
W
26.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Haukar
2
2
D
20.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Magni
1
4
L
15.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
10.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Kári
2
2
D
06.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjolnir
3
2
W
31.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
1
W
23.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Dalvík / Reynir
2
2
D
16.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Kormákur / Hvöt
2
1
W
09.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
1
1
D
02.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
Last matches: Kári
15.08.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
4
1
W
08.08.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
1
1
D
29.07.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
24.07.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
3
1
W
17.07.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
12.07.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
2
D
01.07.26
2.
Kári
Haukar
1
4
L
27.06.26
2.
Kári
Magni
1
1
D
19.06.26
2.
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
4
1
W
15.06.26
2.
Kári
Fjolnir
2
2
D
10.06.26
2.
Kári
Selfoss
2
2
D
06.06.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
3
D
31.05.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
6
0
W
23.05.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
4
L
15.05.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
0
0
D
09.05.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
4
2
W
02.05.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
H2H: Selfoss vs Kári
10.06.26
H2H
Kári
Selfoss
2
2
D
12.04.24
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
3
1
W
23.08.20
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
1
0
W
17.06.20
H2H
Kári
Selfoss
3
4
W
21.09.19
H2H
Kári
Selfoss
0
2
W
11.07.19
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
4
0
W
Last matches: Selfoss
15.08.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjolnir
6
2
W
29.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Dalvík / Reynir
2
1
W
11.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
2
2
D
26.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Haukar
2
2
D
15.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
31.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
1
W
16.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Kormákur / Hvöt
2
1
W
02.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
H2H at home: Selfoss
12.04.24
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
3
1
W
23.08.20
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
1
0
W
11.07.19
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
4
0
W
Last matches: Kári
08.08.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
1
1
D
24.07.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
3
1
W
17.07.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
01.07.26
2.
Kári
Haukar
1
4
L
19.06.26
2.
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
4
1
W
15.06.26
2.
Kári
Fjolnir
2
2
D
06.06.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
3
D
23.05.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
4
L
09.05.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
4
2
W
H2H away: Kári
12.04.24
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
3
1
L
23.08.20
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
1
0
L
11.07.19
H2H
Selfoss
Kári
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.68
Draw 4.30
Away 3.78
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.66
Draw 4.20
Away 3.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.02
Draw 2.95
Away 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.5 1.46
Under 3.5 2.40
Over 4.5 2.05
Under 4.5 1.63
Over 5.5 3.10
Under 5.5 1.28

Standings

2. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 2 3 43:22 21 38
W W W L W
2 17 9 5 3 40:31 9 32
W L W W W
3
Kári Away
17 7 8 2 45:27 18 29
W D D W W
4 17 7 4 6 42:38 4 25
L W D W L
5 17 7 4 6 24:29 -5 25
L W D W W
6 17 6 6 5 34:24 10 24
L W D L W
7 17 6 3 8 25:28 -3 21
L D L L L
8 17 6 3 8 30:42 -12 21
W L W D W
9 17 6 2 9 38:35 3 20
W L L W L
10 17 6 1 10 28:33 -5 19
W L W L L
11 17 3 7 7 21:32 -11 16
L W L L L
12 17 4 1 12 24:53 -29 13
L L L D L
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