BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
11.10.2026 17:00
Bistritsa Stadium

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CSKA 1948 Win 52.4%
Draw 8.7%
CSKA Sofia Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA 19481.45
CSKA Sofia1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WWDLW
44 GF / 29 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
50 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
18
4.21
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 27 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 27 matches
CSKA 1948 Statistic CSKA Sofia
13 Wins 15
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 6
44 Goals For 50
29 Goals Against 32
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 8
4.21 Shots On Goal 5.39
10.71 Total Shots 9.33
4.5 Corners 4.78
48.2% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA Sofia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CSKA 1948 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 10 matches. The return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 19:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

CSKA Sofia Analysis

CSKA Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 24 points after 10 outings. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 won 2 times, CSKA Sofia won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from CSKA 1948's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1 / CSKA Sofia 4-4-2
H2H summary: CSKA 1948 wins 2, draws 3, CSKA Sofia wins 10

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 10 2 4 4 10:15 -5 10
L D D D L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 10 1 4 5 11:18 -7 7
W L D L D
12 10 2 1 7 5:13 -8 7
D L W L L
13 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
14 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
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