Login Register
NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
12.07.2026 17:15
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
D. Karlsbakk · Assist: C. Niyukuri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
J. Bell ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🟨
59'
Tobias Moi
Viking
🔄
63'
H. Heggheim ↔ S. Bjorshol
Viking
🔄
63'
N. Fuglestad ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
63'
K. Askildsen ↔ J. Hansen
Viking
🔄
65'
N. Williams ↔ A. Sher
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
68'
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
Viking
🔄
73'
K. Haugen ↔ V. Auklend
Viking
🔄
74'
C. Niyukuri ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
74'
A. Nibe ↔ B. Gueye
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
V. E. Halvorsen ↔ N. Skuseth
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
83'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ J. Berget
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 32%
Draw 3.8%
Viking Win 64.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.31
Viking2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
35 GF / 32 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
51 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
2.68
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
13
4.27
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 22 matches
Viking Viking 19 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Viking
11 Wins 15
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 1
35 Goals For 51
32 Goals Against 17
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 2.68
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 0
4.27 Shots On Goal 5.8
11.45 Total Shots 15.4
4.91 Corners 6.3
44.3% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Sarpsborg 08 FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Viking.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Karlsbakk (3 goals), V. E. Halvorsen (3 goals), S. Sorli (2 goals), with creative support from S. Sorli (2 assists), C. Niyukuri (2 assists), V. E. Halvorsen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 27 points after 10 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 29:10 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Gianni Stensness (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (13 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 4 times, Viking won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Viking 3
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 4, draws 2, Viking wins 8

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen