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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
16.08.2026 15:00
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: Christian Moen, Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Tobias Borkeeiet
Sandefjord
⚽
28'
O. Kapskarmo
Sandefjord
⚽
36'
D. Karlsbakk · Assist: S. Sorli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
37'
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
Sandefjord
🔄
46'
H. Krogelien ↔ G. Hojbjerg
Sandefjord
🟨
51'
Edvard Pettersen
Sandefjord
🔄
53'
E. Patoulidis ↔ F. Apetorgbor
Sandefjord
⚽
57'
F. Apetorgbor · Assist: O. Kapskarmo
Sandefjord
🔄
65'
E. Wichne ↔ P. Reinhardsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
65'
C. Niyukuri ↔ V. E. Halvorsen
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
65'
A. Nibe ↔ M. Opoku
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
75'
S. Sorli ↔ Camil Mmaee
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
78'
O. Kapskarmo ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🟨
81'
Aimar Sher
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
86'
A. Sher ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
90'
Elias Hadaya
Sandefjord
🔄
90'
E. Pettersen ↔ J. Swift
Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 87.9%
Draw 6%
Sandefjord Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.45
Sandefjord1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
41 GF / 37 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
15
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
14
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 27 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 26 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Sandefjord
13 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 10
41 Goals For 34
37 Goals Against 35
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
15 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.06
12.5 Total Shots 13.75
5.06 Corners 5.63
44.3% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sandefjord. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sandefjord in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sandefjord arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

So far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Daniel Karlsbakk (4 goals), Andreas Hansen (3 goals), Sondre Sörli (2 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (4 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 13 with 15 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 13:22 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Evangelos Patoulidis (3 goals), Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Vetle Walle Egeli (2 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Ruben Alte (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 8 times, Sandefjord won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:24 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2-3-1 / Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Sandefjord 6
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 8, draws 1, Sandefjord wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen