San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.8%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.45 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.2%
|
1.39 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
5.50 |
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Lorenzo
28 matches
Boca Juniors
38 matches
| San Lorenzo | Statistic | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 17 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 25 | Goals For | 49 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.69 | Shots On Goal | 4.56 |
| 10.69 | Total Shots | 13.47 |
| 3.69 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Boca Juniors's more proactive style and San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Boca Juniors in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boca Juniors.
So far, San Lorenzo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Auzmendi (4 goals), A. Cuello (2 goals), E. Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from M. Reali (1 assists), Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Boca Juniors come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 30 points from 16 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Velasco (4 goals), M. Giménez (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), with creative support from Tomás Aranda (3 assists), M. Merentiel (2 assists), D. Gorosito (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 4 times, Boca Juniors won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
Away
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Home
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
D
L
D
D
|