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21.04.2026 20:00
La Arboleda
Referee: J. Mendez
Rubio NU
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
L. Montiel · Assist: F. Martinez
Rubio NU
VAR
27'
Javier Fleitas
Rubio NU
⚽
29'
E. Perez
Rubio NU
⚽
38'
C. Gimenez
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
L. Sanabria ↔ A. Molinas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
R. Rojas ↔ I. Franco
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
A. Fretes ↔ G. Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
46'
F. Carrizo ↔ R. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
59'
L. Montiel ↔ C. Villagra
Rubio NU
🔄
62'
A. Campuzano ↔ H. Caballero
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
63'
R. Rojas ↔ W. Mendieta
Rubio NU
🔄
69'
J. Recalde ↔ M. Rojas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
74'
E. Perez ↔ G. Manzur
Rubio NU
🔄
74'
R. Ferreira ↔ P. Ayala
Rubio NU
🔄
81'
A. Cardozo Lucena ↔ O. Alfonso
Rubio NU

Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rubio NU Win 20.4%
Draw 0%
Libertad Asuncion Win 79.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubio NU0.85
Libertad Asuncion1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WWDLW
10 GF / 21 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
2.69
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubio NU Rubio NU 16 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 18 matches
Rubio NU Statistic Libertad Asuncion
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
10 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 21
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 6
2.69 Shots On Goal 4.11
10 Total Shots 12.78
3.5 Corners 4.44
39.8% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubio NU expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Libertad Asuncion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad Asuncion having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad Asuncion.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 15 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Perez (4 goals), W. Mendieta (2 goals), A. Leguizamon (1 goals), with creative support from C. Gimenez (3 assists), W. Mendieta (1 assists), R. Rojas (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Libertad Asuncion sit 7 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lorenzo Melgarejo (9 goals), D. Fernandez (4 goals), F. Carrizo (3 goals), with creative support from F. Carrizo (3 assists), D. Fernandez (2 assists), N. Gimenez (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rubio NU won 4 times, Libertad Asuncion won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Rubio NU's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rubio NU 4-4-2 / Libertad Asuncion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Rubio NU wins 4, draws 3, Libertad Asuncion wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)