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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.04.2026 14:00
Ak Bars Arena
Referee: E. Kukulyak
Rubin
Match Timeline
Akron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Aleksandr Vasyutin
Akron
VAR
26'
Nazmi Gripshi
Rubin
🟨
38'
Egor Teslenko
Rubin
🟨
45'
Mirlind Daku
Rubin
🟨
45+1'
Ionut Nedelcearu
Akron
⚽
48'
N. Lobov · Assist: N. Gripshi
Rubin
⚽
62'
A. Dzyuba
Akron
VAR
66'
Marat Bokoev
Akron
🟥
67'
Marat Bokoev
Akron
🔄
68'
M. Kuzmin ↔ R. Escoval
Akron
🔄
78'
I. Rozhkov ↔ R. Bezrukov
Rubin
🔄
78'
I. Saavedra ↔ J. Siwe
Rubin
🔄
78'
Benchimol ↔ K. Khosonov
Akron
🔄
78'
M. Boldyrev ↔ I. Djakovac
Akron
🔄
83'
N. Lobov ↔ D. Kuznetsov
Rubin
🟨
90+5'
Nazmi Gripshi
Rubin
🟨
90+5'
Roberto Fernández
Akron
🟨
90+2'
Vitali Gudiev
Akron

Rubin vs Akron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 85.8%
Draw 5.5%
Akron Win 8.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.29
Akron1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Akron Akron
WLDWL
30 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
7
BTTS Yes
17
9
Over 2.5
13
2.75
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 24 matches
Akron Akron 24 matches
Rubin Statistic Akron
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 12
23 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 43
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
7 BTTS Yes 17
13 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 4
2.75 Shots On Goal 3.88
9.67 Total Shots 11
3.71 Corners 3.96
42.8% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Rubin appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Akron. Akron arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rubin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Akron in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akron having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Akron.

Rubin Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Rubin have collected 34 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 23:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Daku (9 goals), Veldin Hodža (3 goals), D. Shabanhaxhaj (2 goals), with creative support from U. Iwu (3 assists), Dmitriy Kabutov (2 assists), Ilya Rozhkov (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without U. Iwu, A. Shvets, D. Shabanhaxhaj, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Akron Analysis

Akron approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 22 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 28:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Dzyuba (7 goals), Benchimol (5 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with I. Nedelcearu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 8 times, Akron won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Rubin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 4-1-4-1 / Akron 4-3-3
Missing players: Rubin 3, Akron 1
H2H summary: Rubin wins 8, draws 3, Akron wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8
Rubin Home
30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Away
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation