Dijon vs Metz Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dijon
Metz
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dijon
14 matches
Metz
16 matches
| Dijon | Statistic | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 29 | Goals For | 34 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.43 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12.71 | Total Shots | 13.43 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Metz's more proactive style and Dijon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Metz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dijon expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Metz in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Metz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Dijon have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 9 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Júlio Tavares (3 goals), Samy Olivier Chouchane (3 goals), J. Marié (1 goals), with creative support from Júlio Tavares (1 assists), J. Marié (1 assists), T. Dong (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Metz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 10 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Fall (5 goals), J. Deminguet (2 goals), T. Savanier (1 goals), with creative support from J. Deminguet (2 assists), T. Savanier (2 assists), F. Miguel (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dijon won 4 times, Metz won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Dijon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Metz
Away
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Dijon
Home
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
D
|